JTA66
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Everything posted by JTA66
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Snow starting up again here too. Roads and sidewalks that saw melting earlier are quickly getting covered again. Haven’t seen the lawn since about noon, so I’m just adding on from here.
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Snow had stopped for awhile but snizzle picking up in intensity again, 31F/DP 29F.
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Down to snizzle with that high Jan sun very faint in the sky, 32F/DP 29F. From what I can see maybe an inch or so has been shaved off in my neck of the woods? Not sweating it. I see some lightning strikes off the NC coast, I think that's what we need to watch as the day progresses.
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Most guidance has me around 4-6" for the event. I'm already closing in on 2" and none of it's from the coastal. Yeah, I'm taking the over.
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Probably no point in overanalyzing the globals at this stage, but fwiw it looks like the 12Z GFS does a bit of a stall off the Delmarva for a few hours.
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12z RGEM and latest HRRR still looking good for us.
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Back to mod snow, 29F/DP 26F. Forgive the weenie ob, but it feels like the PRE is overperforming here.
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I can live with them getting more than us, that's climo. It's when the Carolinas are cashing in and were sitting high & dry...that's a tough one to deal with.
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To my old weenie eyes, it didn't look like the NAM initiated the PRE too well. Probably doesn't matter at this point, we're moving into nowcasting time -- track, where/when does the upper low close off, etc. Good luck everyone, enjoy!
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I think 4-6” is a good starting point for us—I’m sure there will be adjustments as the day goes on.
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Light snow continues, everything getting coated. Hope Greenskeeper stocked up on weenies.
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Light snow, already picking up a dusting. 28F/DP 22F Y'all can thank me later for starting this thread and reverse jinxing us
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Yeah, I’ve been reluctant to say it but maybe we’re actually trending into something for a change instead of out of it. When I started this thread this morning, I was thinking maybe C-1” imby.
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fwiw…hearing the RGEM looks good.
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Latest HRRR still has light snow breaking out before sunrise.
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Along with everything else, looking forward to seeing sat pics of the storm—wondering if it will develop an “eye”?
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Albedoman would cry drought in the eye of a hurricane
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If the shore gets hit hard, it might be a weekend in Absecon. Enjoy and post pics!
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Yes, looking at the NAM verbatim, looks like snow breaks out as early as 8am tomorrow NW of the city.
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Way beyond it's useful range, but the HRRR is showing the PRE event. Could very well vanish on the next run.
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My street has been brined. Hope I have better storm obs than that in the day(s) ahead.
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I don't envy you today, Mike. Good luck!
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Yes, like we sometimes see with tropical systems (Floyd, Isaias, etc).
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Is it me or is the NAM trying to bring back the "pre" event?
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Probably Paul going after the LV guy about Coatesville snow totals from the 1800's I kid, Paul, I kid!
