JTA66
-
Posts
4,535 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by JTA66
-
Down to snizzle with that high Jan sun very faint in the sky, 32F/DP 29F. From what I can see maybe an inch or so has been shaved off in my neck of the woods? Not sweating it. I see some lightning strikes off the NC coast, I think that's what we need to watch as the day progresses.
-
Most guidance has me around 4-6" for the event. I'm already closing in on 2" and none of it's from the coastal. Yeah, I'm taking the over.
-
Probably no point in overanalyzing the globals at this stage, but fwiw it looks like the 12Z GFS does a bit of a stall off the Delmarva for a few hours.
-
12z RGEM and latest HRRR still looking good for us.
-
Back to mod snow, 29F/DP 26F. Forgive the weenie ob, but it feels like the PRE is overperforming here.
-
I can live with them getting more than us, that's climo. It's when the Carolinas are cashing in and were sitting high & dry...that's a tough one to deal with.
-
To my old weenie eyes, it didn't look like the NAM initiated the PRE too well. Probably doesn't matter at this point, we're moving into nowcasting time -- track, where/when does the upper low close off, etc. Good luck everyone, enjoy!
-
I think 4-6” is a good starting point for us—I’m sure there will be adjustments as the day goes on.
-
Light snow continues, everything getting coated. Hope Greenskeeper stocked up on weenies.
-
Light snow, already picking up a dusting. 28F/DP 22F Y'all can thank me later for starting this thread and reverse jinxing us
-
Yeah, I’ve been reluctant to say it but maybe we’re actually trending into something for a change instead of out of it. When I started this thread this morning, I was thinking maybe C-1” imby.
-
fwiw…hearing the RGEM looks good.
-
Latest HRRR still has light snow breaking out before sunrise.
-
Along with everything else, looking forward to seeing sat pics of the storm—wondering if it will develop an “eye”?
-
Albedoman would cry drought in the eye of a hurricane
-
If the shore gets hit hard, it might be a weekend in Absecon. Enjoy and post pics!
-
Yes, looking at the NAM verbatim, looks like snow breaks out as early as 8am tomorrow NW of the city.
-
Way beyond it's useful range, but the HRRR is showing the PRE event. Could very well vanish on the next run.
-
My street has been brined. Hope I have better storm obs than that in the day(s) ahead.
-
I don't envy you today, Mike. Good luck!
-
Yes, like we sometimes see with tropical systems (Floyd, Isaias, etc).
-
Is it me or is the NAM trying to bring back the "pre" event?
-
Probably Paul going after the LV guy about Coatesville snow totals from the 1800's I kid, Paul, I kid!
-
HM twitted about this last night, mostly likely because some models develop an area of convention off the FL coast. And yesterday when the 18z NAM was a miss, someone in the NE forum noted that blob of convection scoots off to the NE. Our storm forms and chases it, that's why the 18z NAM was a miss. Is it correct? Just another nowcasting ob to watch.
-
Yes, with no blocking things will move along. I’m sure most saw HM’s post on the other site about the convection off the FL coast causing issues with the modeling/area of cyclone genesis—something to watch going forward. And yes, I’d sign up for Ralph’s amounts.
