JTA66

I was outside a little earlier and thought the same thing -- "smells like snow". Unfortunately, we know otherwise. 35F/DP 26F

Nothing but a parade of rainers and cutters on today's GFS. Although if it has any skill at 330 hours , maybe a little something at range. Yesterday was my deadline for throwing in the towel. It didn't feel right to do so while it was snowing. But the winter IS a ratter, no doubt. I'll hold onto the towel until Feb 1 to see if anything is still on the table for the first week of the month. For now, I'm going to enjoy a sunny day for a change.

This! As I recall, it was also a factor in keeping the MJO in the crap phases. So yes, it's a reasonable possibility that a Nino next year won't necessarily change our luck.

Looks like I'm back to all rain here...sigh. Oh well, it was fun while it lasted. 36F

Interesting winter in that our two "snow events" have been rain changing to snow. Usually cold chasing precip doesn't work around here. Don't know if it means anything going forward.

And I can now report it's officially a cartopper!

Rippin' fatties here, 38F.

Is it me or does Nick Sirianni look like the kid from Elf in that ski cap?

You ain’t kidding. Just came back from Target and landscapers were out there putting mulch down. Never seen that before in Jan either.

Jet extension floods us with PAC puke. Jet retraction pops the SER. So what are we rooting for??? It snows here, I know it does, I’ve seen it.

Made a trip to the gas station this evening. There was a guy there filling up a 2-gallon can. I was tempted to ask if it was for the snowblower or lawn mower.

I meant getting a clue that it’s another rainer. I guess the good news is it isn’t a cutter…baby steps!

Maybe it means he's getting ready to put the plow attachment on it.

Yep, 12z NAM finally getting a clue about Sunday.

Same here.

So where are we? March will rock? It can still snow in April? A SSW event will save us? Asking for a friend.

Even the “least snowy solution” would suggest snow. Stick with the “no snowy solution”.

Looks like Redsky’s punt landed inside the two and winter may have just been flagged for another false start. Drizzle, 38F

And I bet half the posters over there are complaining it’s too cold to snow and the other half are already worrying about the late Jan sun angle.

No snow on the ground yet and we do failure well. Too early to second guess the punt.

At least 1989-90 was bone-rattling cold from Thanksgiving to New Years. And we did have the Thanksgiving Eve snowstorm that year. Despite it being a super nino, this year reminds me of 1997-98 so far. All we had that year was 2-3 day arctic outbreak around New Years and that was it (at least here imby). So far all we’ve had this year was a 3-4 day arctic shot at Christmas.

Someone once said, "The Pacific sends us our weather, the Atlantic tells it what to do once it gets here". My concern is even if we do sort out the Pac, we still have to deal with the +AMO. It's nothing new, but the warm pool to our north east around the Gulf of Maine is throwing an extra wrench into things. It would be helpful if we had some coastals or nor'easters to take some heat out of the Atlantic. But I guess this is all part of the feedback loop -- warm Atlantic = ridge, which = storms cutting to our north west, which = no coastals to churn up the waters, which = ridge...and on it goes. No, I'm not part of the "it's-never-going-to-snow-again" crowd. But I do think it will take time (years?) to sort it out. I mean, even if we do get a Nino next year, they tend to suppress tropical activity in the Atlantic which leads to, you guessed it, a warm ocean for 2023-24.

Ch10 guy is talking about how much sunlight we’re gaining each day. Winter’s over baby!!

First day of the month we ended up with below average temperatures. Winter’s back baby!!

Snow hole right over my house—100% guaranteed that map verifies. 28F