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Everything posted by JTA66
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+NAO SE ridge Lack of Miller A's Any frozen will have to come from a "thread the needle" system Seems as safe a winter outlook as any.
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74F at midnight, been sitting at 58F since this morning. If this were March, I'd consider it dreary. But after yesterday, I loving it!!
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Got down to 69F overnight--I'll take the moral victory of not having a min of 70F+ in October. Welp, if it's gonna be warm today, may as well go for some records
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The Euro just said, "Hold my beer."
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Latest ideas from Accuwx on the summer... Temps +2-3 above avg. While there may be more 90F+ days than last summer, there should be fewer 70F+ overnight mins. Precip below avg. Isolated serve with mod to high risk areas off to our south and west.
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Early summer 2019 thoughts from AccuWx: Temps +1-2 above avg, near normal precip (which would actually feel dry considering this past year!)
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Accuwx going with a warm, wet autumn for us with perhaps some tropical mischief. Sounds like the current pattern keeps rolling along.
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July-Sept update... AccuWx going with temps and precip averaging near normal for our region. Bouts of severe wx still possible but the worst of it looks to be upstate NY and New England.
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A quick follow up to the post above... Looks like their summer forecast is a continuation of the May-July period -- temps slightly above average with near normal precip. The big heat looks to stay out west over the Rockies. Above normal precip to our west/southwest (Ohio Valley region), this would lead to below average temps there. All in all, I could live with this. Not a fan of those summers where the AC runs weeks on end.
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Bump... Just read Paul Pastelok's (AccuWx) thoughts on the May-July period. He's going with normal to slightly above normal temps. Cooling energy usage will be near average. Looks like near normal precipitation with below normal severe (but there will be some). Confidence is moderate. His June-Aug ideas will be out next week.
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Lolz!! Now we know why we don't see more of Storm Ranger 10 ... http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/entertainment/television/Report-NBC-Bostons-Storm-Ranger-weather-truck-is-actually-based-in-Philly.html
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Umm ... tomorrow night at 11:00, Ch 6 is issuing it's February Winter Outlook. Isn't winter about half over, and by tomorrow night, about 25% of Feb will be in the books?? Wonder if they'll go with BN temps and AN snowfall??
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Paul, does Wxsim forecast wind speeds? Just wondering what it's showing for gusts with this storm. Thanks!
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So, how 'bout that JB? (Just trying to get this thread back on topic.)
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Great minds, brother!
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^This. Ever since they went to the new format back in the spring, their wx segments have become unwatchable. Two minutes of reviewing temps across the region ... zzzzz! Hopefully it's because not much has happened since the blizzard last year, and if we do get a legit storm threat, they'll get back into the swing of things. Not sure if this is Glenn's idea or some new producer at the station.
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Let's merge with the Central/Western States forum. Ray used to post from Elko when he lived out there, now we can return the favor!
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Can we boo and throw snowballs??
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I must say I was pleasantly surprised by how "bullish" Glenn is. I like him because he tends to be conservative and doesn't hype too much. Here's hoping his outlook verifies!!
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I imagine Ch 6 will be little more than a rehash of AccuWx's forecast.
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A little more detail about the above Accuwx forecast from the MA forum ... "According to Pastelok, accumulation may be limited in areas south of New York City, such as Philadelphia, D.C. and Baltimore. These areas will see a handful of changeover systems, where falling snow transitions to rain and sleet."
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Granted, reading comprehension isn't my strong suite, but did DT skip #2? lolz! Anyway ... Last night's 0z Euro doesn't look as extreme, but still way to early to settle on any one outcome. Should be an interesting couple of days model watching!
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Just watched JB's weekend video with his prelim winter ideas. After a warm Dec, he's going cold w/above average snowfall. I know ... shocking, right??
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Here's an article about their 90-day forecasts ... http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/accuweather-90-day-forecast_us_57102676e4b06f35cb6f219a?ir=Science§ion=us_science&utm_hp_ref=science
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The new format gave me a headache.
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