JTA66

Can hear the winds roaring aloft. Storms about 15-20 minutes to my west.

And it’s under 72 hours...lock it up!!

Girardi alone is probably good enough for 4-5 more wins this season.

Mostly virga, but occasional light rain/flurries. Looks like heavier stuff is just off to my west and about to move in. 39F/29DP.

fwiw, and probably not much, the 18Z NAM has a small band of snow moving through the NW burbs tomorrow night.

Sleeping in and missing it was even better!

Is this now the obs thread for the Super Bowl storm? 37F, damp

Read Don S's thoughts in your forum -- based on current Pac SSTA's, the MJO's base state may be more prone to stay in the warm phases going forward.

Yeah, I really didn't think this year could be as bad as last year...or worse. HA! Hopefully we're adding to the WDI (We're Due Index) for an upcoming winter.

I knew we were in trouble a couple of weeks ago when Wes (usedtobe) started posting again in the MA forum. (Just kidding, Wes.) Anyway... I'd be curious to learn what the models have been picking up on or dismissing these past two winters as they keep showing improving patterns in the LR that never get inside 7 days. Maybe it's nothing at all. Maybe is just some sort of model default past 240 hours.

I go back and forth regarding my all time favorite winter -- 1995/96 or 2009/10. Either way, that first week of Feb 2010 is my all time favorite week of winter.

Even though he didn't play here, I have the same feeling I did when I heard the news about Pelle Lindbergh and Jerome Brown.

fwiw... AccuWx still likes the idea of colder air working its way east in Feb with the possibility of snow chances for the east coast. We'll see...

RAY!! Awesome stuff, thanks for taking the time to put it all together.

Very reminiscent of the late 80's/early 90's where we did that stretch from 86/87 to 92/93 with not much to show for it. At least we're not alone, looks like European and Russian weenies are in the same boat as us.

Another winter of always being 10 days away from being 10 days away. No deep dive here, I keep seeing consistent ridging over east Asia and I know that's a bad look for us.

35 weeks till fall! BRING IT!

This. Now what I remember and what actually happened may be two different things, but... Growing up in the 70's and 80's, it seemed every forecast for a sizable storm included the words "blowing and drifting". And I remember it seemed very cold air masses would follow those storms. For instance, if yesterday's storm occurred 40 years ago, it would be in the teens today and everything would be a frozen block of ice. As great as 2009-10 was, I don't recall it being particularly cold after those storms. Even the blizzard of 2016 didn't feature any remarkable cold afterward.

31F...just barely hanging on.

Getting an IP/ZR mix now.

I wasn't paying tremendous attention to it, but one run a little earlier had rain up to the TP. But hey, what's 20 miles among weenies??

Still pinging away. Latest HRRR now shows all frozen NW of 95.

Pingers now, 26F/21DP.

Latest HRRR (fwiw) says north of the TP stays frozen.

Flakes starting up again.