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JTA66

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Everything posted by JTA66

  1. Squint!! Flakes have started here, 24F/5DP.
  2. Radar seems to be doing a little back building around Baltimore. (Probably just radar hallucinations on my part.)
  3. 22F/3DP here. There is that initial band, but it looks like there are lighter returns behind it. Snow or virga? Have to check obs in W Pa. Kamu, let's get that snow pile started today!
  4. I'd be happy with 2"-3". 12z NAM continues to look sleety here after an initial burst of snow. Actually, I'm one of those weirdos that likes a good sleet storm -- put down a layer of ice, top it off with drizzle, then freeze it solid!
  5. I will say I don't recall anyone forecasting an epic winter this year. But most did say something along the lines of, "if nothing else, this winter should be better than last year." To the point you made yesterday Ralph, last winter WAS BETTER than this one so far. If nothing else, we had the November storm. Still, it's only 1/16. I'm not expecting a huge turn around, but maybe we can luck into a few fluke events so it's not a total fail.
  6. Halfway through met winter, so far so good (unfortunately).
  7. Too early to say for sure, but certainly having flashbacks to last year when the really good looks in the LR started to get muted as we moved forward in time. Deja vu all over again!
  8. Still 4 more days of this to trend...to 33F and rain.
  9. Agreed, Paul. The positive departures we've set so far may be too much to overcome for the winter as a whole. But give me a period of cold and frozen during our peak climo and I'll be more than happy.
  10. 8pm and it's still 66F. Wonder if someone would have made a run at 80F today with full sun??
  11. My current forecasted low Saturday into Sunday is 60F.
  12. Got a minor flizzard as most of that blob in Montco passed just to my south. Hoping that stuff in central PA holds together and finds its way down here.
  13. White rain in Lansdale. Made it up to 43F, now down to 37F. Need heavier rates for stickage.
  14. Brine in Horsham. Use it or lose it, I guess.
  15. AccuWx updated their forecast for the remainder of winter. No real surprises -- overall above average temps and precip for our region (and Jan remains a dumpster fire). But they do have Feb averaging a degree below normal with above average precip, so there is some hope. No mention of March. I suppose the forecast is for met winter only.
  16. ^ Will be a good test of the old "EE rule".
  17. Car topper. Storm of the decade (so far).
  18. Yup, at this point we take white rain and run with it!
  19. Sometimes the light at the end of the tunnel is nothing more than that of an oncoming train. Anyway... I remember last year when the models kept teasing us with epic looks in the long range, Mitch (Mitchnick) kept pointing out the lack of troughing over/near Japan and how that was a red flag for him. I've casually been noticing the same thing this year. Any sort of lower heights that (rarely) show up there are in and out. It's just one piece of the puzzle, but yet another piece that doesn't seem to be in our favor. Still way too early to give up on winter. My expectations were for average snow this year, just hope I don't have to adjust downward from there.
  20. Glad other ppl are seeing flurries, too -- thought I was imagining things. Happy New Year everyone!
  21. Anyone care to say, "What happens in December, the winter will remember"???
  22. December 30th...maybe we can track some t-storms instead. The line looks a little more consolidated on the 12z NAM than it currently does on the HRRR.
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