JTA66
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Everything posted by JTA66
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Getting a sun flizzard.
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AccuWx updated their forecast for the remainder of winter. No real surprises -- overall above average temps and precip for our region (and Jan remains a dumpster fire). But they do have Feb averaging a degree below normal with above average precip, so there is some hope. No mention of March. I suppose the forecast is for met winter only.
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Car topper. Storm of the decade (so far).
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Yup, at this point we take white rain and run with it!
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Sometimes the light at the end of the tunnel is nothing more than that of an oncoming train. Anyway... I remember last year when the models kept teasing us with epic looks in the long range, Mitch (Mitchnick) kept pointing out the lack of troughing over/near Japan and how that was a red flag for him. I've casually been noticing the same thing this year. Any sort of lower heights that (rarely) show up there are in and out. It's just one piece of the puzzle, but yet another piece that doesn't seem to be in our favor. Still way too early to give up on winter. My expectations were for average snow this year, just hope I don't have to adjust downward from there.
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Glad other ppl are seeing flurries, too -- thought I was imagining things. Happy New Year everyone!
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Anyone care to say, "What happens in December, the winter will remember"???
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December 30th...maybe we can track some t-storms instead. The line looks a little more consolidated on the 12z NAM than it currently does on the HRRR.
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I tried taking a peek last night, but there were some high, thin clouds overhead so I didn't get a good look. Sounds like nothing will happen in our lifetime, but I'd love to see a supernova before my time is up. I remember there was one in 1987, but it was only visible in the southern hemisphere.
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Only got down to 40F overnight. Already up to 47F at 10:30 on a cloudy, late Dec morning.
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LOL...I just got that alert 6 minutes ago
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Getting a random flurry or two, 35F.
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HRRR and 12Z NAM still show some flakes flying later today.
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I'm expecting a package being shipped from N NJ. I got a UPS update that it's been delayed due to severe wx. Any idea what's going on between here and N NJ? Tornados? Flash flooding? A landfalling hurricane?? BECS???
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^ lol...look just like last Dec. Pattern repetition ftw.
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Great seeing Konecny and Lindblom continue to grow -- good thing too as the vets have been a little less than impressive (great game by G last night, though!). Still, I think this team is was it is for now -- win 2 or 3 in a row, lose 2 or 3 in a row. Still haven't made up my mind on Fletcher. Just glad he didn't do the typical "Flyers thing" and trade all our youth for past-their-prime stars.
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Latest ideas from Accuwx on the summer... Temps +2-3 above avg. While there may be more 90F+ days than last summer, there should be fewer 70F+ overnight mins. Precip below avg. Isolated serve with mod to high risk areas off to our south and west.
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Early summer 2019 thoughts from AccuWx: Temps +1-2 above avg, near normal precip (which would actually feel dry considering this past year!)
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Accuwx going with a warm, wet autumn for us with perhaps some tropical mischief. Sounds like the current pattern keeps rolling along.
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July-Sept update... AccuWx going with temps and precip averaging near normal for our region. Bouts of severe wx still possible but the worst of it looks to be upstate NY and New England.
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A quick follow up to the post above... Looks like their summer forecast is a continuation of the May-July period -- temps slightly above average with near normal precip. The big heat looks to stay out west over the Rockies. Above normal precip to our west/southwest (Ohio Valley region), this would lead to below average temps there. All in all, I could live with this. Not a fan of those summers where the AC runs weeks on end.
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Bump... Just read Paul Pastelok's (AccuWx) thoughts on the May-July period. He's going with normal to slightly above normal temps. Cooling energy usage will be near average. Looks like near normal precipitation with below normal severe (but there will be some). Confidence is moderate. His June-Aug ideas will be out next week.
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Lolz!! Now we know why we don't see more of Storm Ranger 10 ... http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/entertainment/television/Report-NBC-Bostons-Storm-Ranger-weather-truck-is-actually-based-in-Philly.html
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Umm ... tomorrow night at 11:00, Ch 6 is issuing it's February Winter Outlook. Isn't winter about half over, and by tomorrow night, about 25% of Feb will be in the books?? Wonder if they'll go with BN temps and AN snowfall??
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Paul, does Wxsim forecast wind speeds? Just wondering what it's showing for gusts with this storm. Thanks!
