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Everything posted by FXWX
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Variety of items are allowing or allowed this to occur; moist / damp near surface air layer; no meaningful drying late yesterday or overnight; apparent condensation frost / dew on some roads; hard to detect drizzle / light rain producing processes and borderline cold road surfaces? Tremendous variations in road surfaces across relatively short distances which gave many drivers a false sense of security... Last night's RGEM did suggest some possible troubles, but had literally no other model support...
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A positive move... as I stated earlier, I'm a very minor poster and not trying to tell anybody how to run a forum. But there is often wonderful insight from some posters, both mets and hobbyists, that can and often does get lost in overwhelming number of meaningless posts. If folks want to moan and whine that is fine with me, but it should stay out of the main threads, at least not to the degree it currently is... I'm not a kill joy either and there is room for some snarky back and forth, but it appears to be dominating what I consider the main threads...
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Agree Will... I'm in no way a significant poster on here, so maybe I shouldn't comment, but it is becoming unreadable. The # of constructive post v the # of whinning, non meteorology post has become stunning. Maybe each thread should have 2 sections; a serious section and non serious / bullshit section. Scrolling through a threat looking for serious posts has gotten tedious...
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"Fantasy"
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- ratter
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While many, if most, on here try to make SNE winter climate something it never or rarely was/is, your post is spot on!!! So many live in a fancy SNE winterland... When one of those relatively rare long pack winters come along, it skews some brains into thinking they should be or ever were common.
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Always stumps me why this has to be the case. The DOT / DPW crews have been alerted to this potential for days. The DPW crews I deal with are already to go with a treatment just prior to the temp collapse... Not too tough to time and be ahead of the situation... Just a lack of coordination with lots of town and state crews...
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What a little elevation can do!
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Snow cover hanging tough on Mountain Top Pass, Burlington, CT
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Probably need to revisit 2nd highlighted wind potential period; window probably opens up for that by very late morning into early / mid afternoon period. Models will waffle a bit with each run but overall signal has been pretty steady. In these setups a degree or two change in the vertical profile can make all the difference between a pretty run of the mill event and a widespread issue.
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Always a crap shoot with southerly or southeasterly potential high wind events; many don't verify but as a forecaster you have layout the risks, but without hyping. Give me a gradient driven northwest flow event anytime. I wouldn't be shocked if the southwest / west strong wind later Friday ends up stealing the thunder from the south/southeast wind threat period.
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I think lots of folks have a miss understanding of what wind gust level causes damage and power issues across SNE. No one is suggesting we are looking at 55 mph sustained winds. But if any particular location hits 50 to 55 mph gust, damage will occur. It may not be widespread but there will be damage to trees in the 50-55 mph gust area. The question is how widespread will 55 mph gusts be. Obviously, if an area sees multiple 50 to 55 gusts, the amount of tree damage will increase. Also, 50-55 mph gusts occurring at tree top level is all you need. That wind speed is rarely verified at ground level. The point is 50 to 55 mph wind gust at tree top level is not meh in this region. Even one 55 mph gusts is going to produce at least some damage in the area of occurrence. The question is how frequent are 50+ mph gusts and is the coverage of the 50-55 gusts isolated, scattered or widespread.