FXWX

I sent overall all 3 with amounts and elevations; right now only 3.5 listed...

Hey Walt; crazy variation across western Hartford County; only a slushy cover at my old location at 300', our current location 3.5" at 700' - meanwhile at under-construction new house at 1140' measured 6.0"... Hope you are well; talk soon.

Where did you get that particular snow stick???

All ens teles are available on WxBell and/or Weathermodels.us; both which are paid for subscriptions... Weathermodel.us is the most reasonable. I need to view them on a regular basis for my work so the fee is worth it... Whenever you want to see them just ask...

I am well aware of the history of over-done max wind gusts by modeling, but if you have been closely following the short-term record (past year) of the euro ever since last fall, it has been remarkably good with at least 4 significant events... Maybe it craps the bed this time around, but it deserves to be taken seriously, as far as I am concerned... especially when it has multiple runs with these numbers...

Steve; where are you seeing the clip from East Haven HS turf field video? Do you have a link?

Douche away; I'm a big boy, I can take it; lol. I have read enough of your post to know you have a great handle on the dynamics of the atmosphere. Your statements about sfc/upper air pattern analysis versus modeled frontal & sfc pressure center positions are never taken lightly by me. It is something I try to constantly remind myself about. There are many times I just look at the sfc & upper air analysis and physically draw what that look should lead to in terms of feature placements. I do think the pattern layout described in your post above certainly is not one usually favorable for a warm front to bodily rush across SNE. But skies have really cleared out of all most all of CT, as well as southeastern NY, temps are rising quickly across western CT, but the rich dew points are still sitting down across portions of eastern PA/NJ. Certainly not a classic summertime warm front passage? Southeastern NY and western / southwestern CT were my main concern area and that continues. The increasing sunshine across CT may open the door to the threat migrating into central CT, as well as the greater Springfield area, but dew points really need to get going. Noted SPC is yet to issue a MCD for this afternoon, which tells me they are not as bullish right now, even though their updated outlook remains mostly unchanged.

I told you yesterday to never trust a warm front's modeled position. This had a pretty solid cold/cool air mass sitting across eastern New England and it should not be shocking it is struggling to blast northeast across SNE. That being said, still an interesting setup and you cannot dismiss some of the basics in play with this event; just yet. Could still turn into a solid northwest flow event, but this has almost always looked like a southeastern NY / west-southwestern CT deal. The question now is can we destabilize enough on the back side of the warm front or will cloud debris put a nail in the instability coffin. Things can and often do change quickly and anyone dismissing the possibility of this becoming a nasty event for western CT should wait a bit.

Agree...

Hey Walt; nice job as usual. What do you make of the UKMET being so persistent with its deep and intensifying system???

Town Crews just pulled off the road until winds subside; will respond only to life-threatening situations!

Across my area Burlington, CT; very impressive tree damage town-wide... Multiple reports of trees taking down or snapping poles; with multiple poles being snapped at the same location... we actually have town work crews that cannot get out of some areas since more trees have come down and blocked all their travel routes.

still good here...

Old Lyme

Add the July 10, 1989 to the similar setup; morning WF passage and then monster afternoon / early evening event...

Check out live August airport cam... https://www.maineinstrumentflight.com/fbo/webcams/

Not completely; maybe state DOT, but I have several DPW crews that have used it when bitter cold periods were in play; used quite a bit Jan/Feb 2015.

Many of the new treatments are less or ineffective during very cold periods, which are common across NNE; sand allows for better traction when treatments would not be effective. Even down here in SNE, some DPW crews have a reserve of sand to use if needed during very cold periods.

Great job with your forecast... can you share the link (url) to the Accumulated Snowfall Departure map?

Hey Walt... didn't have time to play with the scaling but here are the 500 mb mean and anomaly maps for Dec 76 through Feb 77...

Globally (NH), we have gone through a remarkably long stretch of a relatively flat flow with zero blocking, no persistent large-scale amplified trough / ridge couplets; no real anchor features; true arctic air has not be a regular visitor to the middle latitudes anywhere across the NH. Why??? I have no clue. Even in many of our blah / ratter winters, there were strong features causing havoc elsewhere; this year not so much. The oceans are very warm on a widespread basis though and maybe the lack of sst gradients are playing a role???

Here is Euro Omega (700) at 00z Sunday

Ok... small, localized enhanced areas; just a bit to your north OXC showing 10 mi. vis... hope you pick up a solid cover; sfc temps not helping out in many places... thanks for ob