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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    Wonderfully beneficial rains out there. Really good to see.
  2. WxWatcher007
  3. WxWatcher007
    I didn’t realize you needed the rain that bad.
  4. WxWatcher007
    Recurve is always the betting favorite. That’s our climo. Often times you can see the recurve pattern a mile away, other times the steering signal is more interesting. This is the latter right now. If the trough were showing up as flat as a pancake or out in the Atlantic there wouldn’t be anything to discuss. We’ll see what it is should this wave develop in about a week, and when it’s actually approaching the ECONUS some days after that.
  5. WxWatcher007
    They’ve been on a heck of a heater.
  6. WxWatcher007
    I didn’t expect it D2.
  7. WxWatcher007
    Just need to see that the trough isn’t an automatic kicker. This is an eternity away and purely speculative obviously but you roll the dice with this look. Trough weakens and it’s gone, trough cuts off for real and it’s a LI Express.
  8. WxWatcher007
    For this far out, I just want to see what the trough looks like, and it has potential imo.
  9. WxWatcher007
    GFS should be interesting
  10. WxWatcher007
    GFS shows you exactly what I mean. Today’s trough cuts off and draws Debby north. If it were flat and progressive it would’ve kicked Debby east. The very next trough is in a different location, but it effectively cuts off too…right in the danger zone.
  11. WxWatcher007
    Kev knew
  12. WxWatcher007
    Not much but I’d keep an eye on it lol
  13. WxWatcher007
    I don’t have anything scientific here, but I do think seeing how that Midwest trough trended does show that there’s potential this month that future troughs could do the same. Maybe not enough to drive it to Buffalo lol, but I think we get another EC threat (or two) this month.
  14. WxWatcher007
    I think a slight is close to a lock. I’m tracking severe more than rain around here lol.
  15. WxWatcher007
    D2
  16. WxWatcher007
    I think it’s way too early to look at track specifics. The steering pattern broadly? Sure. We just saw how quickly things could change with Debby…and Beryl…
  17. WxWatcher007
    Quite a solid look on IR
  18. WxWatcher007
    Not a bad look at all on IR
  19. WxWatcher007
    It’s too early to really get a good sense of where it’ll track (see Debby forecast ten days ago) but the genesis signal is very strong and with good reason—this looks like a highly favorable environment across guidance.
  20. WxWatcher007
    We’re going to quickly pivot from Debby to this new lemon. Forget the op runs—the environment ahead looks favorable, and the steering pattern as it stands preliminarily is for a close approach. Beware the cutoff trough—if we can get one now, the door is opened for repeats.
  21. WxWatcher007
    Seeing several tornado warnings tonight in NC. Convection has really blown up. Will be an interesting day as Debby keeps moving along.
  22. WxWatcher007
  23. WxWatcher007
    That actually sounds…pretty good (though I don’t smoke lol). We all have stories.
  24. WxWatcher007
    I wasn’t even thinking of looking out there
  25. WxWatcher007
    Long loop radar doesn’t show a secondary circulation. There’s deep convection SE of the center, but this shouldn’t influence the overall track of Debby. Matters for rainfall though.
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