WxWatcher007

It was an absolute beauty yesterday in Missouri. It looked better on IR and radar than virtually all of the early season tropical we usually see in the Atlantic lol.

More on the system in the Midwest.

New England “severe” in a nutshell

Beautiful mesolow over Missouri. Looks like tropical.

Severe season cancel.

If we’re gonna do it, let’s do it big. Big heat (95°+) or bust. None of this 93/62 crap.

Issue is that it’ll likely be suppressed further south, significantly limiting any chance of development.

A gradually intensifying TS that brings a good rain would be a nice appetizer.

Nothing nearly as exciting up here but awesome to get the camera out.

Didn’t need to be severe to make it a good day. Always feels good to get the camera out for wx. It’s been too long.

Taken by surprise by the angle of the sun juxtaposed against the rain lol and hauled ass back up the hill to capture this.

The line was trying to make a run at something interesting for a minute or two, but couldn’t get there. Meh overall, but I got pics so I’m happy.

Wow, that’s big time.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Albany NY 540 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022 The National Weather Service in Albany has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Litchfield County in northern Connecticut... * Until 615 PM EDT. * At 540 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Torrington, moving northeast at 55 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... New Hartford, Winsted and New Hartford Center around 550 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include West Torrington, Torringford, Haight Vineyard, Mooreville, Nepaug, Riverton, Kelly Corner, West Goshen, Beech Rock and Wrightville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. &&

I’m skeptical but I’m only in it for good pics lol.

Line looks robust in eastern NY. Looked pretty ragged not too long ago.

Tornado warning near Lake Pleasant, NY. Decent couplet.

I’ll have to get out there someday.

Yeah, we know how to miss a great opportunity around here lol. Nice lightning producer out near Goshen.

Yeah not thinking widespread, but an active afternoon seems on tap which is nice.

The watch is up for Litchfield and Hartford counties.

Woah, that’s intriguing.

It's good to finally have something worth posting about I just went through the GEFS and EPS, it looks like one of the main differences is where the energy coalesces. On the GEFS, the signal is for more eastern development in the western Caribbean, which the EPS mostly keeps things suppressed and develops more in the EPAC. Climo kinda favors EPAC right now, but if we can get moisture to stream more north toward the Yucatan, that increases odds of something forming on our side of tracks. Still not quite ready for primetime yet with any higher end tropical development absent excellent upper level conditions, IMO.