WxWatcher007
-
Posts
32,950 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by WxWatcher007
-
I think the best shot for a good snow in coastal CT is for the front thump to produce. That seems perfectly timed to me with it being after dark Saturday into early Sunday. If that’s trash, then it’ll end up a bust absent some serious CCB love during the late morning/afternoon. I still think there’s plowable even to the coast. -
Funny how it went from the weak outlier to the strong one.
-
Get ready for the horde rising from their slumber to gaze upon the flaccid Euro.
-
This is an absolutely wild take to me. This isn’t Caribou. Take what you can get when you can get it and let the chips fall.
-
Yeah I suppose there’s still time for changes in either direction as the follow up vort is better sampled. This is definitely threading the needle for a higher impact event but I guess going back to the very beginning of this saga a moderate event that gets us off the mat is a big win. Especially before the likely flip to sustained winter later January.
-
It’s definitely dicey there, but I still think it’ll work out for plowable especially away from the immediate shoreline. I’m in East Hartford. Bar was 4” but if we’re being honest this morning if I don’t verify a warning I’d be a little disappointed.
-
Ready to get this storm going. The model watching just gets dumb (for me) after a while.
-
You can see how it’s more strung out with some type of brief dual low crap Sunday morning while 12z was more robust and consolidated. I thought we were pulling it together but apparently we still have a ways to go for locking down how this really evolves. I will say though that the EPS mean was a little more robust.
-
Better 48 hours out than 120 though. I think we’re closing in on consensus but obviously the devil is in the mesoscale details.
-
We like tonight’s action
-
This is a great tool for that data. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/request/gis/watchwarn.phtml
-
I’ve had warnings but I haven’t verified one here since 1/29/22. My last double digit snow (not that I’m expecting that here) was 1/31/21.
-
That ship has probably sailed until the next Euro run that dry slots 2/3 of SNE
-
Agree. I think our first call will be 3-6 or 4-8 for the shoreline with a strong gradient possibility discussed and 6-12 for inland CT.
-
NAM might go wild lol
-
I also think the GFS provided the biggest dopamine injection in years too so there’s only so much higher you can go
-
Yup. Good to see that 00z was a blip though. 00z 12z
-
Beautiful beautiful run. Hopefully starting to see the GFS/Euro coalesce finally.
-
Can you share HFD?
-
You’d think ensembles follow the op at this point though. Euro going with a better vort interaction would really go a long way. Today at least.
-
Just like the 00z Euro, I’d need to see more from other guidance to really see it as anything other than an outlier. For reasons posted above though the ceiling is pretty high, even if it doesn’t quite work out in the end.
