schoeppeya

12 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

The surge would be that height above ground level plus the height above normal water level. So if a location is 13 feet above normal water level, 10 feet above ground level, and got flooded the surge was at least 13 feet. The surge is the height above the normal water level at that time. 

Yes that is was what I was saying. 

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Was estimated 13’ FMY beach and likely higher.

Severe studios cam there was that elevation and was submerged pretty early on.

2 minutes ago, mob1 said:

Now dropping like a rock

Makes no sense with strong onshore winds still

New eyewall is starting to contract some in size radar.

2 minutes ago, coastal front said:

I’m Honestly surprised how quick this ewrc has been progressing. 

Harvey also pulled up a very quick ERWC and if I remember correctly never had any pressure rise during the process. The radar loop from that is very similar to the current one Ian is doing. 

Looks like the moat has really filled in and don’t see the secondary wind max on velocities anymore, thinking whatever attempt we were getting at an ERWC has been aborted for now. 

This storm has a pretty spectacular satellite presentation for its current intensity.

Pretty crazy how the one big burst of convection completely changed the IR presentation of the storm. 

Going to be quite the race today to see if this is classified. Just based on satellite presentation right now I’d be betting it does.

I’ve seen a lot uglier systems than that classified 

Massive wall cloud on that cell south of Tecumseh on Koco

South of tecumsah about to go

Boy looks like the Seminole storm is cycling up to drop a big one. Lots of damage in Seminole on news 9.

The storm SE of OKC looks like it’s latched on to the warm front and could probably use a TW as well

ETA: There it is

24 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

To each their own. I love our seasons. As lucky said, no place I'd rather be.  I could never survive in the broiling heat like Texas, the South or the Southwest and honestly while I get peoples frustration about overcast and things like that, I really don't get how there's ANY appeal to live in a place without 4 seasons. PSA- 8 months of heat, leaves withering off trees (little color) for a few months, and a chance of maybe 1 day seeing snow per year is NOT 4 seasons.

You have to get DEEP south to get the climate you’re describing. 
 

I lived in Fayetteville, Ar for I while, would be my ideal climate. Averages 4 degrees warmer than Indy during the summer months but 10 degrees warmer during the winter, with all 4 seasons and multiple chances for snow every year. 

I’ll hop on the Midwest weather sucks train. This is me and the wife’s second winter/spring here coming from Oklahoma and we are on the struggle bus. 

Think the long tracker has another cycle in it. Still has the right look and the right environment. 

2 minutes ago, cheese007 said:

Big Rivers Electric power station might take a direct hit in the next half hour 

I am a gas trader and that’s one of the plants we manage. Insane. 

This storm is really only a little over an hour from impacting Louisville area.

Huge debris ball again. Probably hit the hospital.

Mayfield is about to get absolutely crushed. I don’t know if I’ve ever seen a storm carrying so much debris through the entire structure on CC.

This is going to be the worst situation we’ve seen in years destruction wise. 

8 minutes ago, Stebo said:

Right, I am the problem. You haven't posted but a couple times in several months, I don't think you understand the dynamic of this subforum. It really isn't hard to let stuff naturally progress in threads instead of just randomly posting stuff with no commentary. I could post a crazy map every 6 hours but that would be meaningless especially since the models change constantly. Which is why I suggested he listen more, I know everyone doesn't have the same background here but you have many long time posters who do just fine without the background a met may have. This wouldn't even be a thing if he didn't just keep doing it after suggesting to post less nonsense that is 8+ days out. Stuff that far out has minimal verification skills to it.

You have an issue with him doing that but not the original post he responded to?

ETA: I don't post very much because I would rather "listen more". But I have been a member of this forum for over a decade under one username or another and read basically every post on every thread for the sub forums I am interested in. 

1 hour ago, Stebo said:

Learning people do much better listening instead of just randomly shouting which is what your one map did. I have no idea if there is instability or anything associated with that. All these things matter.

Or, maybe, since you're a meteorologist, you could make the assumption that since he responded to a post about a PDS tor sounding there's probably some instability there and he just shared a map of a parameter he found to be most impressive. Posting said map isn't "shouting", its posting weather related information on a weather forum. 

The weather regionally is pretty boring right now and @StormfanaticInd is single handedly keeping some of these threads going, you red tags e bullying everything he posts instead of educating him and the rest of us noobs on what you disagree with doesn't make you cool, it makes you a douche bag. 

42 minutes ago, Stebo said:

Yeah upper low swinging down to our east, at best it would be lake effect, but otherwise just crap. I will pass on that look.

What's a favorable look for clippers for the Lakes versus the depiction we are talking about?

10 hours ago, Hoosier said:

I'm not so sure about that.

Yeah that's the cool thing about the weather, nobody is. If you're going to poo poo his idea at least explain why.