Jump to content

bristolri_wx

Members
  • Posts

    1,684
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by bristolri_wx

  1. BOX 6:45

    NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... 645 AM update... Very impressive satellite imagery this morning, with half wavelength shortening between trough and downstream ridge, as trough begins to take on a negative tilt. Forecast remains on track, with moderate snow overspreading eastern CT-RI and eastern MA, with snowfall rates approaching 1 inch per hour. Winds have really cranked upward the past hour, with PVC G50 kt/58 mph the past hour! Still expecting the heaviest snow with hourly rates of 2-4" per hour at times along with strongest winds up to 65-75 mph between 9 am and 4 pm. Rain has flipped over to all snow now across Nantucket and the outer Cape. Although this will be a heavy wet snow, including coastal Plymouth county and increase the threat of tree damage and power outages. Earlier discussion below.

     

    • Like 1
  2. 1 minute ago, NeonPeon said:

    Good luck. I'm sticking with my understated 9" idea for lowly Newport. No doubt you'll do better. I buy the idea that we will just staying out of the good business from the east, and I have never not seen a death band to the west that is showing up in more detailed modeling. That's every storm I've seen with a classic track.

    I hope I'm wrong, because it would be good for everyone, but even if I make it to that amount, it'll blow my son's mind with the drifting and wind.

    I'm done now. At some point you have to look out the window, and now's the time for me. Hope it doesn't disappoint too many, and people actually get out in it!

    Even if RI gets a snow hole, I doubt there will be less than 12” anywhere state wide when it’s done.  Good luck!

    • Like 2
  3. 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

    Actually buoy 41002 has a 1002 mb pressure, so it's probable that the initialization of the SPC is splitting the difference between the RAP background and the actual ob.

    I just had to chug an IPA as I had Buoy 41002 in the “Blizzard of ‘22” drinking game.

    • Like 1
    • Haha 3
  4. Just now, 78Blizzard said:

    BOX AFD discussion said they could be as high as 20-25 to 1 in bands, so clown maps could be understated for once in their life.

    I’m still skeptical on that. It would need to really be the perfect conditions. 12-15 to 1 is a more reasonable expectation and you still get a dumping of snow with that.

  5. 1 minute ago, TheSnowman said:

    Wait - RAY IS BULLISH AGAIN??  OFF of What??  

    I’ve already called every airline in the US and homeland security to mark you with a cannot fly tag. Seriously the only time our forecast goes to shit is when you start planning to come back to RI. You cancelled your plans and suddenly the models improve again. STAY IN LA! :D

    • Like 3
    • Haha 3
×
×
  • Create New...