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hudsonvalley21

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Everything posted by hudsonvalley21

  1. I wonder if orographics has added to the higher totals here to your east?
  2. You also add to our verifications. It's funny too see the radar estimates for our area are around 1 to 1.5".
  3. Agree with you there on the the ground just below the surface being dry. The creeks and streams didn't rise so much here, most of it absorbed into the dry grounds. With the I90 area, I was up in the Warrensburg/Lake George area fishing last weekend and the weather was beautiful vs today. The lakes and streams were lower than normal up there so they will benefit too.
  4. Agree with the winds, not too bad here. Don't need the trees coming down with the saturated ground. I guess we jackpotted with the precip.
  5. 3.26 is my total here. Very impressive. The last hour I got just about an inch.
  6. At 10:00 pm I'm at 985 mb and have 2.40 in the bucket. Not much in the wind catagory tho ( in a sheltered area).
  7. Haven't seen a regional QPF map like this for awhile. We'll see what verifies later tomorrow.
  8. No frost here. Low of 37. Looking rainy for us this week.
  9. It's showing a little in the next 5 days. At least it's something too hope for. Especially up here in the lower and mid-Hudson valley areas where we're still below normal.
  10. Talking about rain, picked up 0.19 today . 87 was the high here.
  11. DCA: +2.4 NYC: +2.6 BOS: +2.1 ORD: +0.5 ATL: +1.5  IAH: +1.2 DEN: +1.6 PHX: +1.1 SEA: +1.0
  12. Might wind up having a lackluster fall foliage this year locally.
  13. 40 for a low here. Forecast high is for 72 today. At 1 pm sitting at 64. Might bust on the low side today. As for rain totals, 0.43 for the month so far. Ground is rock hard and some leaves are falling from lack of water.
  14. Mesoscale Discussion 1924 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1019 AM CDT Wed Sep 04 2019 Areas affected...Portions of Central/Eastern NY...VT...NH...Western ME...MA...CT...and Far Northeast PA Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 041519Z - 041715Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Increasing thunderstorm coverage is anticipated over the next several hours. Damaging wind gusts are the primary severe threat but a couple tornadoes are also possible. A watch will eventually be needed for portions of the region. DISCUSSION...Recent surface analysis places a cold front from SLK (in far northern NY) southwestward across central NY to just east of BFD (in far north-central PA). Radar trends have shown gradually increasing intensity of the cells along the front in south-central NY as they move into a diurnally destabilizing and modestly buoyant air mass downstream. Ongoing moisture advection has lead to an 2-4 degree increase in dewpoints downstream across the Hudson Valley and this general trends is expected to continue, leading to air-mass destabilization ahead of the front as far north as northeast NY, VT, NH, and western ME. At the same time, strengthening large-scale forcing for ascent attendant to the shortwave trough moving into the Northeast will augment the frontal forcing already occurring. The combination of this increased forcing for ascent and air-mass destabilization is expected to result in expanding thunderstorm coverage over the next few hours. Even with the modest buoyancy, strong vertical shear will provide a kinematic environment supportive of organized storms. Primary threat will be damaging wind gusts associated with bowing line segments. However, given the southerly flow across southeastern NY and southern New England, some tornado threat also exists, especially with any more discrete cells ahead of the front. A watch will likely be needed by early afternoon, particularly over eastern NY and New England.
  15. DCA: +1.6 NYC: +1.7 BOS: +2.2 ORD: +0.2 ATL: +1.4 IAH: +1.2 DEN: +0.4 PHX: +1.2 SEA: +2.1
  16. Had .64 last night in a little over an hour and .59 tonight in about 2 hours. Well needed absorbed rain here but without your unfortunate washout rate. Enjoy your time down there.
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