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hudsonvalley21

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Everything posted by hudsonvalley21

  1. It’s time and money to be prepared, but you can’t get caught with your pants down.
  2. Could go down to nowcast time and looking at the HRRR.
  3. That would be one bumpy flight if it does get in the air on time.
  4. Emotions definitely. A lot of folks got sucked in by the the euro days ago. This has been a thread the needle type event and you might not have model consensus until 12z Friday. Placement of 50-100 miles and a sharp precipitation cutoff is huge here for winners and losers. Still anyones game.
  5. Maybe some dropsondes readings are in this run?
  6. Many moving parts,many outcomes. Maybe by 12z Thursday or 00z Friday when all the parts have been on the playing field. It’s Still a coin toss.
  7. Hopefully the 12z runs tomorrow will have a good consensus either good or bad.
  8. It was nice looking at the porn snow maps the last couple of days. I would wait till the 12z runs tomorrow. Too hopefully get a good idea with a few runs with the sampling’s inputted.
  9. Almost there. Maybe 00z -12z on Thursday should do it. 50-100 mile shift could make a difference. Also there is a possibility of it slowing or stalling out. Just a few more runs.
  10. Absolutely, I would start getting comfortable after the 12z runs Thursday. For now it’s sit back and see what evolves till then.
  11. Model mayhem this season. Flip flopping more than a fish out of water.
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