hudsonvalley21

Total of 0.91 yesterday.

0.91 in the bucket for yesterday.

0.71 so far with moderate rain currently. Have a little more to move thru yet.

I don’t think you will have any brownout’s any time soon. Hopefully the back yard doesn’t float away. 0.71 in the bucket so far and have a thundershower currently.

Agree. Nothing organized in what the models are showing. Scattered garden type showers. You could get lucky with a heavier shower. currrenty 91.

91.

DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.4 0.0 101 100 98 99 100 106 99 119 93

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 278 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 PM EDT Fri May 27 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Delaware Eastern Maryland Southern and western New Jersey Southeastern Pennsylvania Coastal Waters * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 1255 PM until 700 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A line of storms will spread northeastward through the afternoon across southeast Pennsylvania into eastern Maryland, Delaware and New Jersey. Damaging winds will be the primary threat with bowing segments, though a tornado or two may also occur with embedded circulations in the line. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles north northwest of Allentown PA to 55 miles south southwest of Dover DE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associate

Route 22 runs north/south to those towns. Great hollow nature preserve and west mountain state forest might have some parking and views to observe from. I’m not sure on some exact locations tho.

The FV3 is the most active I believe.

The Brewster and Wingdale areas have some open elevated areas where you can see some activity crossing the Hudson River. Agree tomorrow could also be fun up in central NE. Safe travels

Not sure your thinking in SE NY where you think the action will be. You have some viewing area the Mohonk and Storm king mountain areas.

Enjoy the weekend. Hopefully you will see a waterspout to ease the pain for the expensive hotel room you will be holed up in.

I second that.

They are adult lanterflies

Same here for yesterday. 0.01” in the bucket.

Is it tears or sweat

Hopefully she’s back to 100%. Congratulations on the graduation

Currently 70 here. Fog lifted out about 30 minutes ago. Forecast high is 95, we’ll see.

WRF is split

0.55” in the bucket from this afternoons events.

Mesoscale Discussion 0787 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0143 PM CDT Mon May 16 2022 Areas affected...Eastern NY...Far Eastern PA...Northern NJ Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 226...227...229... Valid 161843Z - 162015Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 226, 227, 229 continues. SUMMARY...The threat for damaging wind gusts and large hail will persist for at least the next several hours across eastern NY, far eastern PA, and northern NJ. DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery shows an expansive convective line extending from just east of Lake Ontario southward into northeast PA and then back southwestward across far eastern PA. Air mass downstream of this line has warmed into the upper 70s and low 80s. Mesoanalysis estimates 0-3 km lapse rates over 7.5 deg C per km across much of this region. Linear convective structure coupled with moderate buoyancy and steep low-level lapse rates suggests the threat for damaging wind gusts will persist with this line as it moves eastward this afternoon. Cellular development ahead of the line will likely continue this afternoon as well. These storms could produce large hail and/or damaging wind gusts, particularly as a result of updraft augmentation due to interaction with the approaching line.

We’ll back to the weather, new meso out Mesoscale Discussion 0782 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1101 AM CDT Mon May 16 2022 Areas affected...Far Northeast VA...Eastern MD...DE...NJ...NY Hudson Valley Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 161601Z - 161800Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Increased thunderstorm coverage is expected over the next few hours, with supercells capable of damaging wind gusts and hail possible. DISCUSSION...Recent radar and satellite imagery has shown an increase in the showers from northern VA into NJ, with a few stronger embedded updrafts. This area is indicative of the increased ascent preceding the shortwave trough and attendant cold front. Air mass over most of the region has warmed into the low 70s amid dewpoints in the mid 60s. While cloud cover may impede heating somewhat, this air mass is still expected to further destabilize over the next few hours. As it does, a few stronger updrafts may manifest within this warm-air advection regime. Moderate shear is in place, so any stronger, more persistent updrafts could organize, and the potential for a few supercells capable of isolated hail and damaging wind gusts exists. Greatest chance for severe thunderstorms during the next few hours appears to be across NJ and into the Hudson Valley where temperatures are highest. Convective trends are being monitored across the entire region for likely watch issuance. ..Mosier/Grams.. 05/16/2022

We have the same type damage from last year in the town of Newburgh area and across the Hudson to the Fishkill area in Dutchess county. Agree with seeing more tornado activity in the area.