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DTWXRISK

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by DTWXRISK

  1. BOS 7pm SAT dec 5 was 36 dew point 32.... snow rain mix, sounding seemed accurate to me
  2. WHAT DID YOU END UP WITH ? nws says lewiston was all rainb
  3. this may be the worst most delusional comment in this entire thread
  4. CAPE .. the Big Alaskan Upper Trough / Low is in part associated with Mod / strong La Nina in 2nd half of the winter as La Nina weakens that feature will go bub bye ... and IF .IF... Atlantic side holds we may be in business
  5. FWIW I consider March to be part of winter if you take a look at recent Trends over the past 20 or 25 years you will have noticed that the month of December has really become an extension of November for the eastern half of the CONUS. By that we mean that for the most part they have not been a lot of significant cold air outbreaks or big snow storms especially before Christmas. On the other hand over the past 20-25 years the month of March has seen very little early spring weather in the eastern half of the country. There have been quite a few number of significant snow storms ice storms and below normal temperatures
  6. the DEC 14 event I have been talking about since last week and in the 3 week newsletter but I am not sure which short wave might be " the chance "/ or the s/w behind DEC 16
  7. IN MAJOR DEVELOPMENT the ecmwf enso model shows DRAMATIC WEAKENING of the Moderate La Nina. It is hard to understate how BIG this is...or COULD be... a rapidly weakening La Nina... in essence a WEAK La Nina combined with SSW EVENT
  8. wow talk about a TOTAL mis read.... Good luck with that this issue is will the moderate DEC La Nina have the same impact in JAN FEB MAR as it under goes RAPID weakening? clearly the answer is no
  9. IN MAJOR DEVELOPMENT the ecmwf enso model shwos DRAMATIC WEAKENING of the Moderate La Nina. It is hard to understate how BIG this is...or COULD be... a rapidly weakening La Nina... in essence a WEAK La nina combined with SSW EVENT t
  10. all runs are colder for ric LYH central VA especially Dew points after 11am
  11. this will GOOD for ME Business wise... a Lot of FRI forecast and saturday TV / NWS Really down played this
  12. 0z euro is ****ing juicy for all of VA except for SE va north edge of snow line get to DC for 6 hrs I-666 is 'IN" the snow such as it is 7A TO 7P
  13. well I will try and be more "focused" in my comments central VA vs DC north VA BAL fair enough ?
  14. LOL suddenly GFS gets a clue and look like RGEM EURO 36 + hours ago
  15. this may be a shock to you but Mid Atlantic also includes va
  16. 18Z ECMWF AND 18Z are bth colder and have the snow in central VA lasting until 7pm
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