hstorm
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Everything posted by hstorm
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Ukie thermals seem marginally better than at 6z, even though snow maps are similar or slightly worse. Both are likely just noise. But good to see some positive movement on thermals.
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It looks virtually identical to 6z. Whether it’s right or not is a different question.
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Snowfall mean seems a bit south of 6z, but would need to compare the individual members to see if that is skewed by a few big hits/misses.
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Beautiful area. We spend quite a bit of time in Nellysford (not Wintergreen).
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GFS also has many N&W below 0 on Tuesday morning.
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Send them the RGEM. Nothing to worry about.
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27.5 for the low.
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Looks largely the same as the 18z RGEM. Maybe a few miles south with the frozen precip.
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0.5” in Great Falls. Nice little event.
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NAM had nothing at 12z (or 6z, I believe). So something may be step in the right direction, even if weak and south.
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Ukie also tracks the fall line, but somewhat better S&E.
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CMC actually has a pretty nice 24-hour snow map for Weds, even though we miss the best to the south.
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Flurrying in Great Falls.
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12.7 for the low. Feels like snow. Beautiful gray winter morning.
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12z GFS misses just south for Sun/Mon (but looks better than 6z).
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As a kid growing up in southern New England, Walt's AFDs were always a great and informative read (especially before an impending winter storm).
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19.0 for the low.
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Flurries in Great Falls. High of 34.3 today. 28.6 now.
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FWIW, 18z ICON looks to be gearing up for some accumulating snow at end of run (18z Sunday).
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24.1 this morning.
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Up to 25.6. Just switched on our A/C.
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19.8 for the low.
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25.5 at 9:30 22.1 just above the snow. Impressive gradient over a few feet.
