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hstorm

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Everything posted by hstorm

  1. hstorm
    ICON and RGEM both seem pretty similar to their 12z runs, at least as to final outcomes.
  2. hstorm
    3k NAM looks quite a bit colder at 60 (end of run) than the 12k.
  3. hstorm
    I have always assumed it counts sleet because sleet counts as snow (for reporting purposes)
  4. hstorm
    6.47 miles, give or take a few feet. More seriously, I always take "N&W" to mean changes start at the fall line, with snow amounts, ratios, whatever getting better as you go further N&W from there.
  5. hstorm
    Hopefully this should help quell some of the inexplicable moping about likely snow vs. mix amounts. Also, the trends in the past 12 hours have largely been stable -- a little colder, a little warmer, some small changes to total QPF. I didn't stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night but I just don't see anything right now that would suggest further dramatic changes.
  6. hstorm
    Largely similar to 0z. Certainly not bad.
  7. hstorm
    Looks like the GFS also has a few tenths more snow after 9z.
  8. hstorm
    RGEM looks a bit colder but also less QPF overall than 6z. At least through 78.
  9. hstorm
    To be fair, I am not sure that’s what the AFD says. It says ratios start at 15-18:1 and trend down to 7-10:1 over the storm. Depending on the initial thump that could well average out to higher than 10:1 over the full storm. In theory, Kuchera should capture this but we all know that it is far from perfect.
  10. hstorm
    Slightly OT but the ZR numbers on the GFS for north Georgia are incredible — 2-3 inches around ATL and much of it falling with temps in the mid-20s
  11. hstorm
  12. hstorm
    Old Farmer's Almanac agrees that we're cooked: Jan 25-26 Rainy, milder
  13. hstorm
    Was the lunch in Georgetown?
  14. hstorm
  15. hstorm
  16. hstorm
    GFS 10:1 maps show 12-14 inches for most of DC area. (Sorry if already posted . . . I only saw Kuchera images.)
  17. hstorm
    Had to drive to Sterling for kid sports. Steady graupel here as well.
  18. hstorm
    Beautiful execution. 10/10 (or 6/6).
  19. hstorm
    Remember when 1/2 of this forum cancelled winter back in October?
  20. hstorm
    I wouldn't call the 12z GFS or Canadian OP a torch for Christmas. Haven't seen the Euro yet. We are also still 9 days out . . .
  21. hstorm
    Getting rid of the mountains seems extreme. They are pretty. And CAD is nice. Better idea is just to make them retractable. Lower them into the ground when a storm is coming. Lift them back up after we get our 3 feet of beautiful powder. LFG team. We can figure out how to do this. It's just basic physics (and perhaps a little geology).
  22. hstorm
    Kids are asleep but dad just took a jebwalk. Driveway is slowly caving to a fresh coating. Pleasant little surprise.
  23. hstorm
    Beautiful big flakes coming down.
  24. hstorm
    1.3 in Great Falls. I’ll take it for the first snow.
  25. hstorm
    If you cut it to 4" your snow totals would increase dramatically.
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