Torchageddon

This is a post that I'd write, lol. I even comment that since winter turns off my mind and motivation, its essentially just a waste of time and for dark overcast skies to perpetually continue deep into Spring is unacceptable. BTW I've tried everything under the stratus for treating SAD and nothing works - I'm not staying for winters I was done over a decade ago. I like the changing of the seasons but I'd give it up never to see another flake again. The biggest problem is the lack of sunlight though - today was incredible with clear skies til 3, I felt totally different but as the overcast rolled back in by late afternoon I felt like shit again! 100% correlation!

Hit 20C for the first time this year, blessed.

Best wx so far of the year on tap, temp is climbing fast and high set to 17C/63F with only the 3rd day of 2022 with no clouds . Its like popping your head above water for air

https://www.kark.com/arkansas-storm-team-live-coverage/ "Catastrophic Tornado Likely" in their banner.

I haven't read on Mike's product yet, but that color table is suppose to match the SPC's outlook? That pink area doesn't represent a high risk type severity for all severe modes does it, if so I'd think something went wrong with the product! Its already changed to something reasonable however the former reminded me of the April 6-8 2006 event where there was this huge expanse of all severe modes that were also sig - an epic squall line further to the east than the Day 8 map. There was little difference between the 45% and 60% tor contours on the 7th.

The low sticks around for 38 hours! If this fantasy (more like nightmare) run starts to get model support, I'm packing my bags. Maybe I should start now.

I like today's spring wx, isolated showers popping up with some nice clouds. Not bad in the temps department either.

High of 16C / 61F for today which is 3C higher than expected, close to the 4 over I was pining for.

I over-performed yesterday by 4C which is a welcome surprise, hoping for the same again today after a horrific weekend of dank. All my snow is gone.

When I checked the Day 4-8 SWO it looked like the same spots outlined for the third time in a row!

I woke up to a nice surprise of sunny skies and a temp far above what was predicted for 8am, 12C! Finally a forecast that busted far too low. Strangely the stations are all showing overcast curr obs. At one point I was expected to have 86 km/h gusts - so far there are a few strong breezes here and there but nothing much sustained

Just saw that, must be one of the greatest lightning scenes I've ever seen Doesn't seem real!

You can see the swathes of LES bands on sat from the last few days.

Just heard some thunder with the temp being 1.5C or 35F, that might be a new personal record as the previous lowest with lightning/thunder was 2.5C or so. Never had it below freezing around here. I've been getting bursts of heavy rain starting late afternoon and I'm sitting at 17mm/0.67" so far today. Dundalk ON continues to have freezing rain at times heavy; I'd hate to be a resident there today. Another inch or so of that forecast.

Overview. So far I'm hovering around 1C while the heavier rain is moving through. Dundalk according to the often unreliable TWN, is -1C with "heavy freezing rain" current obs . Last I saw that was likely 2013.

What is this conveyor belt?

From 8 mins ago, Taylor.

The Taylor tornado rapidly became a wedge, insane footage on KXAN!!

I wasn't aware that hard freezes happen every April, I just assumed above avg or record warm Aprils wouldn't. I'll also check Mar 2010 again because I don't remember it being above avg perception wise. Today was an even bigger bust than yesterday, I made it to 7C (briefly) and point was set to 13C, then 11C. Dumpster-tier day.

Why not? It was the freeze in April that caused the damage. It brings an interesting point up whether its possible to have Morch and then a April/May that are also above normal or even avg in temps - I asked a met this and the answer was simply no. You can predict a monthly avg just based on the magnitude departure of a month before it? Yesterday did actually reach 18C but it was mostly filtered sunlight and then cloudy by evening. Waterloo ON got to 19C, Windsor and likely other towns in extreme SON got their first 20. Its very dark this morning.

The key 10 days of the Great March Heatwave were some of the happiest days I've had.

Today's forecast here busted horribly, 13C for a high with 5 hours sunlight - instead got to 9C with less than 2 hours of sun. Somehow after this my point for tomorrow was raised to 18C, mainly sunny (after showing rain and 14C) . I took a screengrab of that this time, can't wait.

For once I'm getting a locked-in LES band that is bringing whiteouts for the entire afternoon thus far. Among the most intense winter wx so late I've seen. Its the exact opposite of a decade ago when I had a severe thunderstorm and 70F temps, today the temp is falling midday to 15F feeling like -4F and heaviest snows of the winter .

We had our 1 hour of winter fun for the season with the passage of 2 LES bands that brought whiteout conditions in Huron and Grey-Bruce counties (and eastwards towards Barrie). It wasn't quite the blizzard conditions I was hoping for compared to similar setups from other years, but seeing blue skies and the sun within minutes was once again a feature. This winter is still a 0 like the previous five. 30 mins of neat wx during a season is remarkably lame. The evolution of these bands is interesting on radar:

I was put under a blizzard warning as I'm near the lake, one of those diluted ones. Its pretty bad out right now so I'll have to get up early to see if it verifies. During the last few years the last 10 days of Feb seem to feature the worst of winter.