MIstorm97

The LLJ should be strong enough too tomorrow to help aid in recovery from morning convection. I've seen worse setups, that's for sure.

MCV coming out of the Southern Plains storms today, plus ample low level instability, could make for some fun times tomorrow. SPC has a 5% tor across C to NC IL back into KS. Morning convection could obviously kill the day, but it may also lay a boundary that further enhances low level SRH and generates better hodo shapes. Grungy/HP supercells may be the supercell mode with not ideal venting up top, but with how the low-levels are looking, definitely could be a few tors out there. I'll be chasing unless morning convection ruins the setup.

Starting to be some general agreement on a potential severe event in the western lakes on Saturday. Specifics to be determined as the event draws closer, but right now there is potential for a pretty decent event. Guidance currently has an impressive upper level system moving into the region with a deep surface low (~990mb). Speed shear is off the charts, with at least some directional shear. Thermos don't look to be a problem either, with 60F dews being brought well north. Lapse rates appear to be decent as well, with thermo profiles generating 1000-2000 CAPE even on the coarse globals. I'm sure this will somehow trend to garbage, like pretty much every snow event this winter, but it's something to watch.

A good year for us bustin once again