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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. 18z RGEM & GGEM (yes it runs at 18z) both have the energy held back quite a bit more than their prior runs and unfortunately took that step back from 12z
  2. Literally, the next suite of guidance…first piece to come in looks like crap lol
  3. Don't love the evolution and the reduced phasing/digging. Gives some credence to what the op just did. Not UKMET bad, but a step back. Expect we might see 2 camps.
  4. That's pretty easy to see earlier on in the run as well (hr 66-90).
  5. Yeah, now its almost too far west. Started too far east, now that energy as you mentioned is pumping it up causing the flat heights out in front as well.
  6. If we hadn't seen such positive trends to the point of the 18z GFS/GEFS, that run would be a disaster for sure, but the GFS is now the furtheast east
  7. Weaker phasing on the GEFS 18z thru 84, got a feeling some of the members are holding that energy back as well. Going to be an east outcome for this run.
  8. Can already see the 18z GEFS thru 72, step back for sure.
  9. 12z GEFS wasn't markedly better than 6z, so we will probably tell if the run we just saw has any merit if there's a reversal there.
  10. We need the good zoom juju for 0z, so we can officially toss that garbage run.
  11. CMC hasn't been as bad as its old self recently. Need it and the JMA to run this one for us. JMA is the interim CEO (was our CIO)
  12. We're going with the mid range 18z SE bias of the GFS, blip run, toss that crap. Everything else is moving in the right direction. Remain positive, Randy and PSU will bring this in at 0z, and the 18z GEFS/EPS.
  13. We have to hope that run was an off run blip as some are saying, Ji's not wrong... lost all our progress if it's onto something. Its because Randy wasn't here for the PBP
  14. 18z GFS about the worst GFS run of the last 5 or more suites... bad timing after the good trends we've had. Probably misses most of the NE too.
  15. This run just aint it folks, I'm not even going out on a limb... no way that h5 results in a big run
  16. If you're able to post on the forum you're able to watch the model come out... don't blame Ji lol
  17. Starting to look like what Bob mentioned the other day, energy thinking about getting left behind over there.
  18. Bigtime changes at h5 thru 78 with regard to the dig out west.
  19. Haha I just posted the exact same thing Yoda, good that were on the same page. Edit to say the EXACT same post basically from us lol
  20. Some change in the 18z GFS thru 72, energy about about 100 miles west diving in vs 12z
  21. Essentially unchanged so far on the GFS from 12z, pros and cons that about cancel each other out thus far (thru 42). N/S energy diving in quicker from what I see, S/s a bit more east.
  22. Ridge axis in the west keeps going further west and building more each run of the ICON...not sure surface truth will be all that much better but we'll see. Trough is a wee bit deeper in the east but seems a bit positively tilted for my liking.
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