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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    Okay... good thing its the NAM or I'd be arguing to the death. Nothing really out there to support it yet.
  2. DDweatherman
    First piece of bad news, don't like the RGEM's trend at all on h5 vs 18z or 12z. Worst of the 3 thru 57. Holding too much energy back.
  3. DDweatherman
    yeah, lets just hope that type of solution holds...it would be fun to watch
  4. DDweatherman
    I hope we get a full run of the NAM within range and it holds or shows something similar. Then people can watch the evolution of a look like that and what would have happened overhead.
  5. DDweatherman
    Not to mention it was definitely about to cut off... Anyone hopping in the zoom soon? @psuhoffman and co
  6. DDweatherman
    I wish we had more frames, I'd be taking your lunch money (its not my forecast, I'm telling you what the NAM would have shown)
  7. DDweatherman
    ICON does suck as a model, looks better thru 24 up top.
  8. DDweatherman
    People who track snowstorms here know what happens when a low sub 990 and a closed h5 at our lat means with big time fronto overhead.
  9. DDweatherman
    That really doesn't matter with that type of evolution at the upper levels. Its easy to say because its the NAM so its not worth parsing that much regardless. But if the GFS ran that exact run and beyond 84, it would be over a foot up the 95 corridor, no questions asked.
  10. DDweatherman
    It really wouldn't have mattered on that run, someone was going to get 2" of QPF. The upper levels were about to go nuts (i.e. 12z Euro). Under that zone, the rates would be insane
  11. DDweatherman
    its the NAM but yeah, the main show was coming. We pick up our big totals in the good ones with those h5 looks later on as the low gets to our lat and throws back a CCB.
  12. DDweatherman
    I'd say, DC was about to get 15-20" probably...
  13. DDweatherman
    For those that are wondering, h5 is about to close off and the precip blossomed w/nw at that hour. That would have been a big hit back to OKV and there would likely be a big time CCB/Trowal somewhere in association with the h5/h7/h85 lows. If they stack over a certain spot, look out.
  14. DDweatherman
    The real good frames on the NAM were coming after 84 when the h5 was closing off and we might have even seen it stack
  15. DDweatherman
    I can't emphasize this enough... if the GFS looks anything like the NAM, its a whole different ballgame around here. Zoom to ensue here shortly and the ICON to begin which will go over Bermuda I'm sure.
  16. DDweatherman
    A thing of BEAUTY
  17. DDweatherman
    NAM really might have resulted in HECS totals for a decent part of the subforum... thats not a weenie post exaggeration either.
  18. DDweatherman
    Jaws is warranted I'd agree thus far.
  19. DDweatherman
    Have the NAM thru 63... the music is playing in the background. Liking the phasing of the streams and less energy being hung back even vs 18z.
  20. DDweatherman
    Agreed, now that being said. Love the energy consolidating at 57 and the TV now a good bit NE allowing our heights out front to climb better.
  21. DDweatherman
    Liking where the TPV is and the angle of its influence, helps those NE heights over us. Could make for a nice trough axis if this phases cleanly/closes off
  22. DDweatherman
    Resounding yes for that.
  23. DDweatherman
    Thats my hunch thus far, the heights being pumped a bit out front is one of the biggest things I was "concerned" about overall and want to see improve next that could change the game for us. The TPV has a big affect on that aspect
  24. DDweatherman
    Heights out in front are important for trough axis later on. A good thing to check is the TPV up in Canada to see if thats lowering them at all. Looks good on this run so far
  25. DDweatherman
    Beautiful. Hope it can get broken in here real soon.
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