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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. I don’t believe it is. Euro has it a good bit more meaty. They can be very narrow but the storm isn’t moving quickly and there’s a lot of dynamics at play. Like I said earlier, it should sweep through most but where is it going to do its parking?
  2. It’s an imby sport always, isn’t it? We all want the Ivt. I can tell you it won’t end up over my yard, but I’m rooting for it to. They always end up east…but the low isn’t pulling east too much so who knows. Current mesoanalysis on spc has it a bit west of modeling.
  3. Louis Uccelini wanted to be there…but then he heard GH was in magnolia and canceled.
  4. Snow now in waynesboro. Radar isn’t too hateful but we’ll see what next 2 hours or so have in store.
  5. Even if right, the hrrr is basically different every run. @MillvilleWx I’m surprised there’s no talk of the anemic qpf field given this low. Bombed out too hard? No actual gulf fetch? Seeing some things that say locally this will still do its thing with crazy fgen and good dynamics… but on a broader scale this low isn’t producing the textbook shield we’d see.
  6. I think the IVT will at the least add 2-4” hgr east. Question is where does it sit for a few hours and dump 1-2” rates for 3 hrs.
  7. Going to SN in waynesboro now. Ripping at home
  8. I still think 4-6 for you guys. That was my call for the yard as well.
  9. So, LUCK?! Damn time for a lottery ticket perhaps? Need that to translate to the norlun later. The euro says I do.
  10. The only one that may is the euro, and that shows the majority of accumulations from the IVT and it moving east. It is pretty damn bullish with that though, drops 6-8” over my yard.
  11. Did you see my post above? Why am I the local jack at 900 ft elevation in Carroll valley just east of the ridges vs places just west at blue ridge summit having similar and then 1k-1200ft having wet grass west of pen mar?
  12. Let’s go baby. I’m still optimistic for your area, radar is a solid look right now.
  13. Dude this event is weird. Driving through blue ridge and penmar…1300 feet there was about 1.5” maybe in grass… down to 1100 and 1000 on the way down, basically nothing, and rain snow mix. Meanwhile, I have almost 2” in the grass at 900ft about a mile from Carroll Valley..
  14. Radar is improving nicely for the FDK and n/w crew back to 81.
  15. Wow. Our grass is mostly covered here. Only place it’s not on is the roads.
  16. Dramatic difference here, over 1.5” on grass little bit on the driveway.
  17. Bncho’s submissions usually require a parents signature to ensure the model reads are on point.
  18. 900 or so here, snowing nicely and has been the last few hours.
  19. Grass is mostly covered, between 1/2 and 1”, snowing moderately at the moment.
  20. Our office is in Neptune, crazy stuff coming for them.
  21. I wouldn’t love anything more than for that man to be banished to a remote island, just an asshole through and through. we know he loves model hugging, and sure he can make good points, but I read his blog from last night…led with emotion more than logic on the why for shifts.
  22. We kinda got bncho’d a bit, so we all assume it’s not far off 12z
  23. You buying into the west trends? I’m sure you loved seeing the euro and then especially its EPS move pretty nicely west at 12z
  24. Raleigh got 4” if that’s any consolation for DC. I’m ready to get Raleigh’d
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