DDweatherman

Satellite is going pretty nuclear and the core is compacting really tightly on the local radars now. She’s coming in hot now folks. Look out @WxWatcher007

7pm update or a special might have this at 130-135 depending on our next sonde.

Radar presentation rapidly improving now from KTBW and KTLH. Tightening eye that’s compacting and wrapping the brighter echoes around the NW quad

Agree that the stronger she gets the more unlikely it would get tugged NW until the pressures came up a bit (ie the hi-res depictions of a certain threshold)

Starting to think based on some obs and radar this actually could go west of Perry unless we get some NNE-erly jog late on the approach. Could it come in around St Marks? Somewhere between the two seems feasible.

The effects other than surge will be a nuisance mostly for the Tampa St Pete metro. You guys get 50-60mph wind gusts from tropical systems plenty. The biggest concern, by far in places like Gulfport and those areas will be the surge. This evening’s high tide could bring a lot of water in that area.

Going to help the wind damage impacts penetrate further inland though..

Things are going to be really dicey it seems for Valdosta if current trends continue. They might be in the eyewall later this evening.

Dry air has been the theme of the season. Francine only flushed it out at the very last second and then she blasted right before landfall. She was a good mixer of winds to the surface in LA. Could see this tack on some strength on that final approach that mixes down winds more optimally.

I’ve driven that coast line and also driven the US 19/27/98 all the way to Destin, it’s low lying, quite poor areas that are very spread out population wise. I drove through there over a year after Michael and most of the damage off the immediate roads was almost untouched.

Yep, those spots down near Laurel and Osprey are low lying near Venice Beach. Some sit below sea level. I was just there this week, got out of town this morning.

I think we’re going to see her ramp up fairly nicely the next 4-6 hours.

Pretty concerning for Valdosta if they are on the eastern eyewall. It’s going to be hauling through there with bigtime winds. If this gets to major today might be a landmark event there.

Looking at Key West radar since we have the eastern eye wall in range, it’s more or less moving due N at the moment.

Yeah about 15 miles southeast from 0z, basically Steinhatchee. If this does LF there, the surge in cedar key could be devastating for sure. Even folks up the US19 coast from Tampa get a lot of water on that track and approach.

It has transitioned to that desert SW heat feeling last 2 hours, dews have tanked a bit. BWI 102/64 vs 96/70 at 11am.

That was my thought this morning. 100 at lunchtime is rare air.

Several of the wunderground stations in Baltimore already reporting obscene #'s (104,105). Obviously those are likely high, but it's absolutely UHI hell there today.

I could see today being a banner heat day for the area. Some 103/104’s going to come out of somewhere. Feels like the early 2010’s

Impressive impacts as many have stated, definitely more like what you'd see with a cat 2 LF. Also going to echo that if this had even 12 more hours, (lets not talk about 24), the wind impacts to Houston might have more on par with Ike level+.

Kansas, look out 613 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Eastern Saline County in central Kansas... * Until 645 PM CDT. * At 612 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Niles to near New Cambria to Assaria, moving east at 30 mph. THESE ARE DESTRUCTIVE STORMS FOR EASTERN SALINE COUNTY HAZARD...100 mph wind gusts and golf ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Expect considerable damage to homes and businesses. Expect extensive tree damage and power outages.

Interesting day in Kansas 613 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Eastern Saline County in central Kansas... * Until 645 PM CDT. * At 612 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Niles to near New Cambria to Assaria, moving east at 30 mph. THESE ARE DESTRUCTIVE STORMS FOR EASTERN SALINE COUNTY HAZARD...100 mph wind gusts and golf ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Expect considerable damage to homes and businesses. Expect extensive tree damage and power outages.

It dates back pretty far, I’d say Jonny Depp?

The wife has mentioned one of her true bucket list items includes seeing the pyramids and going to Egypt. 2027, the max eclipse (totality is 6+ mins) is over Luxor, Egypt. That one is already in our plans

Sadly didn't make it to Ohio since the weather was unclear heading in and driving 3 kids 5+ hours was a tough idea. Going to see 93% here in SCPA so should be a good experience nonetheless...maybe even get a little darker.