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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. How about this list not having a storm since 1962…
  2. A pretty high impact event to be honest. Big impacts from Topeka to KC to STL through Indy, Cincy, Columbus, before it gets here. ice impacts down into Lexington.
  3. I’d lean towards that especially if amounts are still solidly in WSW ranges come tomorrow night.
  4. I love the pre plowed peacefulness of covered streets, especially up in my hood since they don’t seem to come mid goods. Roads get dicey quickly in Carroll valley when it snows, especially in the higher sections.
  5. I love daytime snow but something to be said about just getting ripped in the street lights 1-2"/hr at 24 degrees.
  6. I WOULD be surprised if it didn't, agreed lol. That corridor where we are looks like a great spot for fronto banding judging by some of the h7 maps. Millville has been alluding to that last day or two.
  7. It's a real nice hit. Basically 8+ on Kuch maps for me to TSSN land and then the 10+ on the metro corridor out to OKV where we have the 1' totals.
  8. That .15 can be 3-4" for sure as we've seen with those kinds of evolutions. Someone mentioned the closed pass in 2/10/10, some areas were melting SLR's in the mid 20's+ IIRC.
  9. Agreed. Having 4-8" area wide OTG then that piece move through would give us longer duration and a nice bump to the totals. Just don't want to get stuck depending on that type of evolution to do most of the damage.
  10. The snow in the backside deform is what I’ve been saying would include some really solid snow growth and ratios. The mid level pass looks supportive. hoping a lot of us cash with the thumpy WAA slug then tack on more fluff with that piece.
  11. The weekend rule is one of our finest. That and the ole EE
  12. Let’s be clear, the euro is still #1 in scoring, but in my eyes isn’t the king it once was. It has had a decent idea on this one for a couple days, but his wavered a fair bit as well (just not as much as some of the others).
  13. It's impressive we get the surface look the GFS shows with that h5 broadness. I'd have to think if we could get that sharper with the N/S wave phasing in, it would have to go boom.
  14. baby steps h5 wasn't impressive, but almost had something. Usually its the other way around in these parts.
  15. That's my pet peeve, too broad. If this was sharper, it could be really a sweat.
  16. Definitely interesting. h5 seems too broad but its different than some of the other runs. Better heights in the SE out in front and N/S making a pass at the energy.
  17. I agree. And I'm likely not using the GFS thermals for any indication of what mixing could occur. A setup like this with the flow scheme as High Risk said isn't sending sfc temps into the mid 30's. There might be a ML warm nose if the primary drives up into C WV and is a bit more amped, but I'd expect some kind of CAD wedge to counter it.
  18. This is a beauty. It's more amped and more neg tilted. That enhancement as this passes is where we can really stack fluff with good growth in the DGZ and 15-20:1 type ratios. As some have said, let's get 5-6" OTG before that part and then play with house money.
  19. Yes, hour 102-105 are nice for a lot of us with the enhancement. Look at the mid level passes.
  20. It's not a bad run, no one panic. It's a little more amped at h5 and low is a hair stronger, which draws in a bit more ML warmth with that angle of approach. Reality is, the 2m temp 32 line is actually a bit more S.
  21. Uh….what about this line above that? ”50% chance of 78% chance of 8"
  22. Well stated. Where the f is Ian Livingston?
  23. Aren’t you like barely out of college? Maybe I was wrong but I remember a conservation before when you were just getting started. Might have you confused with someone else.
  24. One day you’ll level up. Enter the GIS world where Mappy and coincidentally our boy bressi are in.
  25. I'd say just a smidge, h5 is a bump north and mixing across from MO eastward led me to believe it was slightly. We're also just slightly more amped.
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