DDweatherman
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Everything posted by DDweatherman
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Can I ask you, if you’re thinking the Nam is onto something, and you’d be heartbroken if it was wrong…can I have some of that crack
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It’s usually wrong at 9 or 12 hours out so idk
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The key to this afternoon and tonight’s run is keeping it within reach if a trend ensued through tomorrow’s cycles
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I saw what amped said above about ridging upstream, but to be fair it was very flat relatively on the initial image. Not a huge trend there. id more attribute it to the more rounded tpv but a more positive/neutral tilt if anything. That and there being very little phase activity to YANK or TUG this N/W
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Yeah, scraff declined to be the creator. Who’s next in line???
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It’s crazy how miniscule downstream impacts can take somewhere from 0 to 12 in this. Models aren’t done moving
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That euro run sucked for a lot of the forum, but wasn’t far from something a lot different.
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Euro has big time totals on a sharp cutoff to much less. Something different about that run. I really expect a different solution on 18 or 0z runs, maybe vastly different than this mornings
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Me too, I don’t understand how the output ends up being that
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Why waste our time sharing what looks better when the outcome keeps ending up worse. Such bullshit how it ends up looking at the frames leading in
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Doesn’t sound awful to me
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Well, if @Scraff is here to start it now, he can. If not we’ll have to run euro through this thread
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Let’s start it now, who wants the honors? Try and turn this bitch around
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This is honestly what we’re likely gonna need to happen to salvage this thing
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Thanks for dropping in and you’re right, this storm hasn’t shown its full hand yet. Something will pop up we’re not looking at 1 for 1 on the current model progs. I love Mike Ross from suits too
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Okay now we’re exaggerating a little bit. There were a few “scare runs” south and nyc wasn’t in the goods until late in the game.
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Those types of runs during big dog tracking and then rejoicing during the first flakes when radar looks sick or when the big rates start are my 3 favorites
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Anyone remember the original PSUhoffman storm? So much fun when the changeover brought insane rates and thundersnow out the ass
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This is accurate. Westminster didn’t get 6” to my knowledge.
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Models so a great job at identifying threats at long leads, that’s their key area of improvement. Close in we still have our struggles with difficult set ups
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Believe it or not, I kinda think so too. Like PSU said, I could see a miller b type solution popping up this aftn/tonight. Really unusual h5 evolution
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But you’re in Richmond, so you might have been lying.
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It’s a 3 day weekend squid, we might as well keep looking and see if we can develop an alternative path to victory. I’ll be here with ya
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Whoever gets .5” QPF could definitely score 8-10 in this one. If you’re in .25” you might get better than 10-1 but subsidence plays a factor on the edges and worse snow growth as well.
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Yeah and our victory path to 6”+ may come via the SS wave itself.
