DDweatherman
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Everything posted by DDweatherman
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
So much damn energy in the flow. Lots that can go wrong but honestly a lot of phasing opportunities. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I also consider it ML, like a lot of what we try to do with data analytics at work, it’s more learning algo’s than true AI. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
That’s a scary thought for a year, our best short term model will quite literally be the Euro and then…the rgem? Hopefully we get a higher res AI item to help out. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Just a truly objective observation, it has been horrendous on just about every storm this year. Had the storm last week still bringing snow and heavy precip to us 2 days out. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Notice on the models that were “out out”earlier at 18z, as the low moves more west, the IVT is more prevalent. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Good trends nevertheless. A gfs hold or close to it would really actually be a massive momentum boost now. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Just give me 6” from the IVT and satisfied as could be. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
You’re right, I’ll take the low as far west and as “stally” as we can to let that IVT sit over us and dump. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Agreed, if that lobe catches a bit better and the backside amplifies a bit better, I feel like it could cause the neg tilt look the gfs has been advertising. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Let’s face the facts, it was a pretty sizable move by the euro in a couple of days. Energy consolidation upstream and also coastal development a fair bit west. regarding IVT precip, it was as a result much more impressive with a good UL pass. We’re still a good bit off the GFS, but it undeniably went more towards it than we could have expected if we were weenie casting. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like the change the AI GFS made tbh. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
It’s better.. that’s what you should read between the lines of these unclear roller coaster posts. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
We GET IT. People are busy simping over the AI at the moment. They’re not even paying attention to Dr no -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
My fellow brother in Christ, I HOPE we’re worried about mixing come this time tomorrow, that would mean a lot of things went down. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Fuck it, it’s happening…until it doesn’t! Ai was a better run too if that helps our cause at all -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Can you stop posting this in the middle of the GFS pbp please? Of course with a shifting east coastal you’d shift the IVT east. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I was yanking Randy, thanks for the support anyways Mappy. Can always count on it. for the on topic part of this post, the gfs is not a cave at all we see. It’s going to dangle us into 0z for more drama and heartache. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
If you think the Harlem globetrotters are as good as an nba team, then sure he’s good. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Anyone see the 18z GFS AI? -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
No one breaks 18” or maybe 12? -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I actually disagree, not like the IVT has been going east every run on all models. the further west and south the low is and any capture also matters to the IVT depiction. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Mitch is 105 years old and has been on these forums for 42 years, at least get his username right. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Your 6z image trend above really does show things well, that's not a bad look. Would want h5 further south at the base if we could choose, and it is a bit north from prior runs. Overall though, with that evol I would have expected a big time storm further NE. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
By this time tomorrow night TS will be ready for spring again saying he doesn’t care about the models or snow lol. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Usually TSSN is in bed, but he’s preparing for a colonoscopy.
