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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. SouthCoastMA
    Have a feeling those water temps are going to punish me for a while. Tough to get decent snows this early without a really good airmass. GEFS/GEPS have been pretty insistent on - temp anomalies after Christmas and through early Jan. That would be key
  2. SouthCoastMA
    any way you look at it, beats the yearly Grinch storm
  3. SouthCoastMA
    what I see as the problem with 12/23 is the lack of digging by the northern stream. what you have left is separate streams until it's too late. things main progressive until it's past new foundland. maybe it's a wasted opportunity with that stout -NAO block. just my amateur analysis, and maybe it's creeping closer to something better
  4. SouthCoastMA
    be careful. I heard there was a wolf on the loose
  5. SouthCoastMA
    Yeah that would qualify as an ultra ratter, especially for the south shore. I got lucky with a storm that clipped the coast with 75% of my seasonal total. Otherwise, I would've had around 4"
  6. SouthCoastMA
    17 years of data, my lowest seasonal totals were 15.7" in 11/12 and 16.0" in 06/07 Quite hard to go below a foot, but certainly possible in an ultra ratter. Maybe SE CT would have a better shot, or Nantucket
  7. SouthCoastMA
    didn't they upgrade it recently?
  8. SouthCoastMA
    What happens in Maine stays in Maine
  9. SouthCoastMA
    The GEFS are pretty cold post Christmas. below avg anomalies right thru New Years
  10. SouthCoastMA
    What will it take for the 24th to come back on the table..better timing of the shortwaves + northern stream needs to dig a bit more/sooner?
  11. SouthCoastMA
    woosh
  12. SouthCoastMA
    there are certain epic aspects of this upcoming pattern..like the NAO block looks pretty epic.
  13. SouthCoastMA
    definitely not an epic look down here..but maybe things break right for a storm or two. Like Scott said, it's better than what we've had, for sure.
  14. SouthCoastMA
    That period is interesting. fact. This is miles better than what we were looking at a week ago, so I'll take it. Whether that results in snow in mby is another story, but at least I have the urge to check models now.
  15. SouthCoastMA
    taking names, filling body bags
  16. SouthCoastMA
    Dang, It was snowy when I was up there in late November..didn't realize it's been garbage since.
  17. SouthCoastMA
    def looks slightly more amped. I agree
  18. SouthCoastMA
    Does -PNA correlate to a wetter pattern and thus, higher volume of chances (wet and white)? The -NAO speaks for itself but was just wondering
  19. SouthCoastMA
    Tblizz needs some snow soon, or he's going to be meh'ing us to death for the rest of the winter. death by a thousand mehs
  20. SouthCoastMA
    The GFS has a 'grinch-lite' frontal passage Christmas Eve, but not really much to melt away at least!
  21. SouthCoastMA
    I'd look towards an outside shot of something coming out of 21/22 - if you don't want to wait until after Christmas. Though looks like those odds are decreasing by the run, with the southern/northern streams moving further apart.
  22. SouthCoastMA
    Also I think the Euro can't be trusted like it used to be around day 5. go with the consensus and ensembles
  23. SouthCoastMA
    Ugh, it's that time of year when your posts give me the general idea of bad trends for mby. That being said, I never expected anything before 12/25. more of a longshot or hail mary
  24. SouthCoastMA
    Meh it's all relative..what I cared about was the rate (as a home buyer in 2020). But I will say, the house I purchased appreciated much faster than the house I sold..so I don't think I would've been able to make the same move if I waited any longer.
  25. SouthCoastMA
    That 0z EURO is about best case for my area. Would a more suppressed storm on the 19th help out the potential on the 21/22nd?
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