SouthCoastMA
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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA
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And I think it's just normal tracking going on..I don't see any spiking. -
well we basically need BM or southeast of there to get snow in these air masses. Otherwise, the more tucked solutions may be great for interior
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The 973mb SE of the benchmark or the 958 east of Nantucket would be the best here. Fun to look at, and wish we were within 4 days. The GFS/GEFS still nothing like the Euro/EPS, but GEPS is actually pretty close to the EPS.
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In Plymouth now..sheet rain and 39°
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That's like the mid Jan storm here that theoretically dumped 10-12" but never reached a depth higher than 1.8". Not really, but still pissed about that
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doubt you get any rain at this point..backside already close to you
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Means: 6z GEFS: OV/NY State 0z GEPS: Delmarva to Benchmark 0z EPS: Off NJ Lots of spread in the ensembles as expected 8 days out
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The GEFS mean and GFS OP are about 2000 miles apart
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I thought it cut back vs 12z
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Maybe weathafella can post a StormVista snow map of the 6z Euro for a quick fix. It's better than the real thing
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944mb SE of benchmark. what I would give
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The GFS op starting get to get interested in 3/8 and 3/10-11.
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GFS looks a tad colder thru 24h..hard to believe. Let's see what happens afterwards Edit: The primary is stronger and slightly more NW at 36h, so I'm assuming that will offset the colder start
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The RGEM looks a hair worse to me on the front end. 18z starting off on wrong foot
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convection usually amps things up so it's a valid concern.
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edibles, ipa's, and crack. helluva combo - the NAM and UKIE must be fun at parties
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I don't trust it to locate the primary correctly, so punted.
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Ensembles have a signal for something around 3/11 - slightly stronger vs 0z/6z. The members that do show a storm are whoppers. It's not super strong signal yet, but it's there.
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vs Simsbury, not sure that's a big difference. unless you were planning on being north. pray for ukie/gfs end result
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just an earlier transfer reflected on surface map. primary still around Cleveland
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And it doesn't mean shit here, so I'm not sure why I care. I'll take another tic or 2 south so I can get a couple on the front end, which would mean 6"+ potentially in your neck of the woods.
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The GFS: pretty consistent, some wobbling around Cleveland.
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The Euro past two days: Chicago to Cleveland, slow trek.
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Told you not to fold them. When you go all in you need to ride it to the end, either going down in a blaze of glory, or in flames. No capitulation.
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It has the primary in Detroit which means game over south of NH border. i'm not buying it
