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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. From 11/13 through today, SSTs in Cape Cod bay dropped from 57° to 49°. It's been a steady drop since the 'pattern change that never happenend'
  2. so models in the long range were off about 2 days? doesn't seem like something to get bent out of shape over
  3. I've been conditioned to accept it, and it helps to know that we can still score on high end storms from time to time. Plus, other things like wind and the occasional OES keep it somewhat interesting.
  4. Would you rather have them currently showing a death vortex over GOA and a raging +NAO. No reason to panic yet on 11/22
  5. Oh yeah..I'm just ribbing him - I was a big fan of the December 2020 period prior to the epic grincher. Like you said, the panic this early is absurd - especially with ensembles looking pretty good attm.
  6. Kevin only wants snow in December so he can be like a kid in his jammies around the holidays, sipping hot chocolate, and looking out the window at the snow. He has a lot invested in December panning out, hence the lashing out.
  7. Might touch low 50's here at one point this weekend? What record highs are you talking about? Models are mostly showing 40's to near 50
  8. eh..through central PA / upstate NY. need some serious changes
  9. Yes. any BL winds blowing 1° from the direction of the ocean and we toast, typically. I'd take a SWFE. If I recall wasn't that Nov 18? Cape Cod bay is 55° currently. Maybe in another month we'll have a bit more wiggle room..but not much until January down here.
  10. Well we've gone from 60's and 70's, with TP hanging out of my shorts last weekend to consistent 30's and 40's - with a couple days in the 50's after TDay possible, before we head back to the 30/40's again. I'd say it's been a change.
  11. Sea temp is 55° right now. I typically don't even look at models until after Thanksgiving, unless there's anomalous cold around along with a good setup - which next week seems to have at the moment. Still would need to thread the needle to score down in these parts.
  12. yeah looks like there's some rain/graupel showers on radar. enjoy
  13. The energy got cutoff completely into the SW. 0z hinted at this but 12z went all in. Still a bias?
  14. I like where the euro sits for next weekend. Looks like part of the energy breaks off in the southwest, unlike the 6z GFS. If the ridging out west holds a bit longer maybe there would be room for it to come up coast, but right now it all shunts east
  15. How did I miss this thread. George already in mid-winter form
  16. GFS with a few inches of OES the weekend of Thanksgiving. Frigid run
  17. and it will also be out of here by 11am Sat, maybe earlier if Euro is right
  18. yeah the oaks take forever. We'll be doing final cleanups in early December, but that's standard down here. my maples are 99% bare, and the black locusts probably have a week left.
  19. Euro/CMC/Icon all look much faster than GFS for Saturday...Hope they are right and we can salvage most of Saturday
  20. is that the same as skiMRG? Or some variant of Torch Tiger
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