gman

Weird. NWS has my neighborhood for 1-2 inches this afternoon. If I move the curser around a 1/4 mile from here, it only shows less than 1/2 inch.

Big flakes at my house for the last 15 minutes. Beautiful, no matter how long it lasts!

January gone, already? That’s funny. My calendar says it’s January 5. Seriously folks, get off the ledge. Things can change overnight. You guys depend too much on worthless long term computer models. Rarely are the models right.

If you have lived here long at all, you should know to live north of 85. There is something magical about that interstate. The next line is north of Hwy. 29.

I hope the trends continue toward a no ice event.

https://carolinawxauthority.com/carolinas-winter-2019-2020-seasonal-outlook-snowiest-since-2013-14/

In the Upstate of S.C., there no such a thing as "meaningless" flurries.

From the GSP NWS discussion, for late next week. “The forecast becomes very complex late in the period with significant uncertainty and guaranteed changes in the days to come as another strong shortwave trough marches east across the eastern CONUS while a closed-low finally ejects from the Desert Southwest and interacts with the northern-stream energy as it approaches the Southeast.”

Dropped to 33 this morning, with moderate frost.

Ended up with 4.25".

3.25" so far.

Got 1.40". Maybe another inch tomorrow night and several inches next weekend. Starting out to be a wet fall. What a turnaround from 3 weeks ago.

I'm looking at the satellite on the Hurricane Tracker app. The storm looks like its moving more east than northeast. Any chance it goes across the middle of Florida and entirely misses Georgia and the Carolinas?

0.60" at my house. More than expected. Grateful.

So far, we've had 0.60" of beautiful rain.

Praying for rain. Was walking the Furman Lake yesterday. The lake is way down, but even worse was the view toward Paris Mtn. Acres of trees on the west side have died. It’s not from leaves dropping. These are large patches of many dead trees. It is sad to see that happening so quickly. I hate to say it, but it’s a disaster in the making if someone drops a cigarette.

Looks promising.

Glad I’m not home (Greenville, S.C.) this week. It’s been nice at NMB. Low 80’s. Nice breeze. Low humidity. Beautiful!

Promising discussion about rain next week from GSP NWS. LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 115 PM Monday: Starting Thursday evening after the 500mb ridge has flattened and a cold front approaching from the NW. The ECMWF has been consistent in showing a bone dry frontal passage. The GFS has been the wetter model but now shows little if any rain for our area with this front. The front should be moving through the Midlands by early Friday morning. Therefore, no influence from diurnal heating. The cooler air will make for a milder day in the mountains and still hot in the piedmont Friday but at least below record highs. The cool high pressure will be over the Great Lakes Friday afternoon and over New England Saturday afternoon. This will bring our temperatures down to near normal over the weekend. There will be a strong shortwave moving through the west to east flow across the nation. The GFS is more progressive bringing the best chance of rain next Monday. The EC digs a deep trough next week and deep flow out of the Gulf bringing heavy rain to our area next Tuesday. Of course, the current forecast ends Monday night. CAPE on the GFS Monday afternoon around a 1000 from Elberton GA to Charlotte and rapidly goes to zero in the foothills. QPF amounts from a tenth to a half inch on Monday which is the best in weeks. We can hope for at least that continuing through passage of the shortwave and front. Since the coverage on the models is so good, I would carry higher POPs on Monday but it is Day 7. Lots can change in a week. Max temps rise on Monday to about a category above normal.

FWIW, the Accuweather has no rain for the entire month of October. Scary thought.

Headed to NMB on Saturday. Getting a little concerned about Karen. But, some decent rains from a weak hurricane or strong tropical storm would be nice for S.C.

Finally! Almost an inch of much needed rain. The wind made a mess of the yard, but it was worth it.

Not trying to be political at all. This is funny. https://www.newyorker.com/humor/borowitz-report/trump-signs-executive-order-giving-him-control-of-weather

Hot and dry for at least the next 10 days. Will this summer ever end?

Nice video of the trough.