gman

I'm certainly no expert, but at this point, isn't what is falling out of the sky and the radar more of an indicator than the models?

Please, no snow in Asheville during the SoCon basketball tournament.

Check out the outlook discussion for more details on this possible storm scenario.

Thankfully, the heavy rain never arrived here. We received a steady 1.30 inch rainfall during the night.

Best kind of snow event. Snow all day, sticking to everything except the roads. Beautiful day in Greenville, S.C.!

Fun watching (ESPN3) the Furman Lacrosse team playing in the heavy snow at Paladin Stadium.

No, they called for light snow north of 85. They did miss the heavy snow we are getting, but at least they saw the potential. We love Cedric. He is a good one.

Folks on WYFF got it right.

Weird. NWS has my neighborhood for 1-2 inches this afternoon. If I move the curser around a 1/4 mile from here, it only shows less than 1/2 inch.

Big flakes at my house for the last 15 minutes. Beautiful, no matter how long it lasts!

January gone, already? That’s funny. My calendar says it’s January 5. Seriously folks, get off the ledge. Things can change overnight. You guys depend too much on worthless long term computer models. Rarely are the models right.

If you have lived here long at all, you should know to live north of 85. There is something magical about that interstate. The next line is north of Hwy. 29.

I hope the trends continue toward a no ice event.

https://carolinawxauthority.com/carolinas-winter-2019-2020-seasonal-outlook-snowiest-since-2013-14/

In the Upstate of S.C., there no such a thing as "meaningless" flurries.

From the GSP NWS discussion, for late next week. “The forecast becomes very complex late in the period with significant uncertainty and guaranteed changes in the days to come as another strong shortwave trough marches east across the eastern CONUS while a closed-low finally ejects from the Desert Southwest and interacts with the northern-stream energy as it approaches the Southeast.”

Looks promising.

Promising discussion about rain next week from GSP NWS. LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 115 PM Monday: Starting Thursday evening after the 500mb ridge has flattened and a cold front approaching from the NW. The ECMWF has been consistent in showing a bone dry frontal passage. The GFS has been the wetter model but now shows little if any rain for our area with this front. The front should be moving through the Midlands by early Friday morning. Therefore, no influence from diurnal heating. The cooler air will make for a milder day in the mountains and still hot in the piedmont Friday but at least below record highs. The cool high pressure will be over the Great Lakes Friday afternoon and over New England Saturday afternoon. This will bring our temperatures down to near normal over the weekend. There will be a strong shortwave moving through the west to east flow across the nation. The GFS is more progressive bringing the best chance of rain next Monday. The EC digs a deep trough next week and deep flow out of the Gulf bringing heavy rain to our area next Tuesday. Of course, the current forecast ends Monday night. CAPE on the GFS Monday afternoon around a 1000 from Elberton GA to Charlotte and rapidly goes to zero in the foothills. QPF amounts from a tenth to a half inch on Monday which is the best in weeks. We can hope for at least that continuing through passage of the shortwave and front. Since the coverage on the models is so good, I would carry higher POPs on Monday but it is Day 7. Lots can change in a week. Max temps rise on Monday to about a category above normal.

FWIW, the Accuweather has no rain for the entire month of October. Scary thought.

Not trying to be political at all. This is funny. https://www.newyorker.com/humor/borowitz-report/trump-signs-executive-order-giving-him-control-of-weather

Hot and dry for at least the next 10 days. Will this summer ever end?

Not sure where to post this. John Cessarich is retiring. https://www.greenvilleonline.com/story/life/2019/08/21/wyff-news-4-s-john-cessarich-announces-retirement/2074076001/

The Upper State Fair seems to bring lots of rain and cloudy weather when it is here. Look for good rains to begin on or after August 29.

But, it looks like the east coast is not in the reds, right? The central part of the nation looks to be in the slight risk category.

Heavy downpours sound good to me. I hope the “gloom and doom” forecasts continue. We need the rain. Selfishly, I want it to rainout the couple of neighbors that shoot their little fireworks well after midnight.