SOP looks good for the moment. I'm conservatively going 4-6" here. My area up through S VT/NH gets saved by a pretty expansive precipitation shield moving into the confluence. Southern streamer is bringing decent moisture but don't want to see any trends weaker with that because for my area sheared = screwed.
I feel like a lot of people are thinking about the spike before they have actually gotten into the end zone. Hopefully everyone from NYC to CNE gets plowable snows but I think the band of 8”+ will be narrow.
Yeah, I’m just feeling cautious on this one. Let’s see how modeling goes once we get into some better sampling tomorrow. I’m just worried about S stream coming in weaker and getting suppressed.
are you thinking we start to see slightly more amped north trends showing up?
Better sampling tomorrow but can’t deny the S trend today. Confluence combined with a weaker S stream would close the shades on this one but I’l give it through Friday night to shift better.
Plan for dry through mid-month and take any frozen precipitation as an unexpected gift. Hostile pattern the next 10 days, if we score it's a big bonus.
Greenfield is generally quite good with snow retention but outside of shaded yards, like my own, it is bare ground everywhere in the valley.
Outside of the elevations and Ray’s area this winter has been garbage.