Wow at the GFS whiffing us this weekend, keeping us in the cold next week up until a rains to Maine storm for the weekend. Meanwhile snow across the deep south. That would be comical and the queue for the bridges would have a wait list.
I agree, it probably scoots due ENE, S of the Delmarva. Hopefully we get a surprise but I am not feeling this one.
I'm not panicked about winter but this storm/atmospheric set up is tenuous and a carpet pull set up.
I said earlier today that I think we have until 12z Tuesday to set the trend. If this goes S we switch focus to what's next. No need to panic, there is plenty of cold air around and there will be numerous chances in January. I would like to get a shot at a big coastal before we switch our attention SWFE's.
I'm certainly not writing this off but if we are going to miss, I'd rather miss far and not screw up the baroclinicity for a follow up later next week.
You have been such a welcome edition to an area of W SNE/CNE that has very few posters. I can check in just a little less knowing that you've got the helm for W MA / S VT!
Years ago, I could never understand why @40/70 Benchmark and others much preferred Miller B's or Hybrids over Miller A's.
I learned to be suspicious of these rolling juggernauts from the gulf. Higher stakes, more that can go wrong.