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HIPPYVALLEY

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Everything posted by HIPPYVALLEY

  1. This is going to be a fun day of model analysis of the storm and psychological analysis of the weenies here.
  2. 4”- 6” back this way as I fear we never get beyond moderate snow based on the orientation of the better bands.
  3. That's the part that's hard to trust as a jaded weenie. I'm much more enthusiastic, than I was earlier today but still cautious of a trend towards shredded S stream tomorrow.
  4. Be nice to get a lot of peeps in on this one. We were sweating the crappy air mass last week but it looks like this one, might give NYC to Portland, at least a a few inches of snow and much more for some areas in between.
  5. There will be some decent deformation bands well inland. Can't hate this look for a region wide, snow lovers high five.
  6. You know, good question, I don't really know what goes on behind the scenes in the weather model world.
  7. Moving way to fast for big QPF. Probably a high end max of 1.5"LE somewhere in SNE and that might be pushing it.
  8. Some models moved towards more confluence today. Goalposts will be much more defined by 12z solutions tomorrow. Better sampling of all the players involved.
  9. Couldn't care less about jackpots, just want to see a period of +SN, because in reality, that in and of itself, can be a rarity some winters.
  10. I'm not going to get too worked up in either direction because as @weatherwizsaid, need to see where that best fronto sets up and might not know that for another day or so.
  11. SOP looks good for the moment. I'm conservatively going 4-6" here. My area up through S VT/NH gets saved by a pretty expansive precipitation shield moving into the confluence. Southern streamer is bringing decent moisture but don't want to see any trends weaker with that because for my area sheared = screwed.
  12. I feel like a lot of people are thinking about the spike before they have actually gotten into the end zone. Hopefully everyone from NYC to CNE gets plowable snows but I think the band of 8”+ will be narrow.
  13. Your optimism is a welcome balance to my jaded outlooks when it comes to snow accumulations in the upper Valley.
  14. Six hours of moderate to occasionally heavy snow sounds about right for many. Crumbs either side of that.
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