Harry Perry

Canadian keeping me from a meltdown. That’s from about 10 clippers (nickel & dime fashion) through the 21st. So definitely not going to happen.

Damn, sorry to hear about that. My thoughts and prayers are with you. I lost my mom in 2020 and even while I was taking care of her for years before her passing, nothing ever prepares you for the loss of a mother. Like you my mother got me into all things weather related too, from chasing big hail storms in the early 90’s to tornados in the 2010’s. One thing I’ve noticed is every weather event has had its own unique twist since and maybe it’s just in my head but every time that strike of lightning hits or random burst of wind gusts, all the way to the clouds breaking for a beautiful unexpected sunset… just know she has something to do with it knowing you’re watching.

Pattern is great for a good storm, but we just can’t get the northern/southern to phase where we need. Leads to messy SLP’s with marginal thermals - at least over in my neck of the woods. Looks somewhat better further west across Iowa, western Wisconsin and Minnesota but even then it ejects so fast that any snow will be a quick hitter. And what do you know, the arctic air comes back mid month with storm track across the southern US lol.

Hope the warm front ends up in Alpena

Ahh yes, the usual Michigan winter I’ve come quite accustom to… Where it’s dry and sub-zero for days followed by a sudden warmup to 33° with 2” of rain and 60 mph winds one day, then right back to sub-zero and dry for weeks.

Been watching that as well. GFS most bullish especially out your way. Will be something to watch the next couple of days.

If we didn't have bad luck… you know the saying lol. I found it interesting that every other Christmas Day since ~2018 has been 50°+ over here per a local met. If I get some time later I’ll check that out.

Checked last night for the first time in days. Trying to cut back.

You have snowpack? My yard right now

Well, that was fun while it lasted. Back to the regular scheduled programming relative of the last ~5 years.

14 days out - plenty of time to turn around. I remember not long ago the GFS and Euro showing 50’s and 60’s for thanksgiving a week out and look how that turned out.

“Rain for the next hour”… Been snowing heavily since it started.

To be or not to be a rainer… short range says 3-6” of concrete is coming. NWS says get out your rain boots lol. I think this is going to end up being yet another surprise around here.

The fact that it’s subzero and a clipper is going to bring RAIN tomorrow is comical lol. I feel a little grinch in this one.

Late to the party but over-performed here with 5.5”. Couldn’t believe the rates this morning. Quite a few accidents too. This one snuck up on a lot of people.

These clipper not clippers don’t like Lake Michigan for some reason.

Rip city. Let’s enjoy this.

Has been slow to accumulate over here, finally up to an inch. Might be an under-performer. Will see if rates make up for it as we go through the evening.

We about to be rockin’

Very fine pixie dust coming down, just enough for black ice on many rural roads. Started around 11:30, have a compacted half inch or so. Should be picking up here soon.

0z NAM is doing NAM things… drying out quite a bit in some of the expected higher-end areas in eastern Iowa/western Illinois. DVN goes from over a foot down to 9” this run.

For real. I’d like to think the overnight shift would come in and hoist a warning for their entire area with the exception of maybe Huron, Tuscola and Sanilac counties. EDIT: Actually after checking over that way, nah.. warning area wide would be wise. 6-8” all the way up to Port Austin.

Ensembles have been juiced and most of the short range guidance (18z) is increasing qpf as well. Also trending better for the eastern side of the state.