Jump to content

Harry Perry

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,157

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Harry Perry

  1. Harry Perry
    How. The entire state has had SO much rain, especially mid Michigan. The ground is literally saturated. Next weeks “heat-wave” getting shorter and shorter per some guidance. Would end the week into the weekend with mid 50’s, rain and another upper level low lol. Even some Saharan dust (more mud rain).
  2. Harry Perry
    This shit is for the birds. Hopefully Memorial Day turns out.
  3. Harry Perry
    Yeah I feel like it’s going to be way more scattered this way. 23z HRRR vs. actual imagery is no where near the same. Everything is further north and south. Granted there will be outflows that will probably blow some storms overhead (which could be more of a bad thing really, just less coverage). There’s a tongue of mid level moisture working in from the southwest right now that might also fire some storms around the Gary/South Bend area, along the LLJ with available cape should blossom, but time will tell.
  4. Harry Perry
    Trends between 20z and 22z would also agree, the tail is further and further north with each run. May end up with nothing here as well. Big bust potential.
  5. Harry Perry
    Not sure if I ever recall this for MBY. Impressive to say the least.
  6. Harry Perry
    Yikes, going to be a wild ride this evening. Someone’s going to end up with monster hail out of this setup.
  7. Harry Perry
    High-end enhanced. Surprised they didn’t go moderate, but makes sense.
  8. Harry Perry
    Yeah, kinda looks like good bust potential here. If the 12z HRRR comes to fruition, and there is little/no storm action off to the southwest allowing decent venting/tapping warm moist air riding along the tail of trailing convection, there could be a monster sup somewhere in the area. Big IF. But the potential is there.
  9. Harry Perry
    I’d usually complain about this pattern, but we need the rain incredibly bad. This should at least help the southern portion of lower Michigan and much of Indiana and Ohio with drought conditions.
  10. Harry Perry
    Could’ve swore that was one of my kids on our lake at first glance haha (also 3 blocks from my house). We don’t get too many nice glass days, it’s always windy and cold, or windy and hot with tons of wake from all the boats. Awesome picture.
  11. Harry Perry
    Felt like summer until about 1PM today. Got to about 80° before the bottom fell out. Had a wind gust to 50mph on my weather station right around fropa which led to quite a few people with power out just south of me by a few blocks.
  12. Harry Perry
    Yuck. Let’s hope that doesn’t verify like the snow that was supposed to be falling today (as of a week ago) lol
  13. Harry Perry
    Thanks for sharing that. I was surprised when I walked out the door at 7:30 this morning to find it in the 70’s. Felt like mid summer and was very nice. If I recall correctly, last summer there were very few days with mins even in the 60’s. Seemed to always be in the 40’s/50’s.
  14. Harry Perry
    Another beautiful spring morning followed by fropa and plummeting temps with a stiff NW wind by noon. Wish we could get more than a day or two of nice weather before the bottom falls out.
  15. Harry Perry
    Was just looking at long range and it looks like some areas could be in the mid 20’s for lows around here (even colder in central MI) next Saturday/Sunday/Monday nights. Highs only in the 40’s but have a feeling that May sunshine will cause those temps to be at least in the 50’s. Probably end up being 70 with lows in the 50s lol everything has been hot garbage after day 4/5 as of the late.
  16. Harry Perry
    Love to see it.
  17. Harry Perry
    Warm front is just not going to make it up here. Looks to stay south of the border now. Couldn’t have been the diarrhetic rain we had for 12 hours straight. It just wouldn’t stop. Pretty ominous looking for the Ft. Wayne region though.
  18. Harry Perry
    Lots of clearing beginning to break out. Warm front surging northward. Up 8° in the last hour. Wish it were 10am though.
  19. Harry Perry
    Impressive gradient, nearly 30° temp. difference along the warm front.
  20. Harry Perry
    This. Just going to be too little too late most likely, but hodographs look nasty from you to Detroit and south this evening. The ONLY thing we are missing is surface cape. Looks like we might squeeze 4-500 j/kg but probably not enough, if a storm does go up though, it could be a doozy. SPC will probably hang onto the ENH up here for that reasoning. Edit* ENH adjusted south of the state lines.
  21. Harry Perry
    Most likely yes for both of us. We might get a local threat but nothing widespread by the looks of things.
  22. Harry Perry
    Really not thinking there’s a chance in my neck of the woods. Regenerating showers overhead just north of the front is going to keep it from pushing far enough north before the next round in Illinois is here. Not saying it can’t happen, but atmospheric recovery is pretty much out of the cards in Michigan. South of the borders should be interesting though.
  23. Harry Perry
    Back to western ridge and eastern trough for a while though. Looking ahead will be good though when the jet buckles, plenty of cold air to the north and subtropical air from the Gulf. Ultimately I believe this will be a pretty significant severe weather season for the midwest and into the Great Lakes region - similar to 2011/12 with lots of above average temps mixed in.
  24. Harry Perry
    I’m willing to bet the dust is helping create the lightning without a doubt.
  25. Harry Perry
    HRRR has a bit more moisture to work with. Looks less cluttered and more defined. This one could creep up on us if a little more moisture is realized.
×
×
  • Create New...