Harry Perry

Ahh, persistent eastern trough with a western ridge. Don’t worry, it’ll overstay its welcome.

This. I think the lake effect signal will only increase between now and Monday. Willing to bet we both end up with a few inches and some storms.

Looking forward to 65-70° with 50° windchills Sunday.

Same here. Left the generator out there just in case it goes out again this evening.

Yeah the severe weather side of this system is pretty bleak at the moment (up here anyway). Rooting for at least some upper 60’s and 50 mile an hour winds lol.

Most of the short range guidance trending towards keeping the front crashing south to I-80. Last week WAA won out but I don’t think that will be the case this time around, unless RRFS is onto something. Looks pretty ominous. Not a fan of the 8-2am storm time, hopefully the timing will keep things from getting too out of hand south and west of here.

This was only about 15 miles south of me and have seen some video from friends and the like, just not good at all. Many missing/unaccounted for, at least 3 confirmed fatalities and just by looking at the video and damage, I would be willing to bet this is a historical Michigan tornado in the EF-3 range. Truly remarkable but horrific at the same time.

Pretty good consistency. Would expect a bump into slight overnight. Areas from Grand Haven to Lansing and south look pretty interesting through the evening. Lots of dynamics. All goes to shit pretty quick after 01z but still would have some hailers.

Welcome to spring.

Glad you ended up with something. Looks like 2-3” incoming for Saturday into Sunday but I’m not going to make a thread or it’ll disappear again.

Damn, Rhode Island just rewrote the record books.

Pretty crazy. Definitely giving off some hurricane vibes.

There’s still ensemble support, just not much. Felt pretty confident 24 hrs ago that this system wouldn’t entirely shit the bed, but here I am.

Miss those days.

Sweet

First time caller, long time listener. Well as the title describes… GFS nailed the nor’easter, can it do the same for us? (Not hopeful). GFS Staying pretty steady for the last couple days with a shot of snowfall associated with a cold frontal passage in the late Wednesday night the 25th and lasting through Thursday the 26th timeframe. Ensembles also honing in on the clipper-esk system with a corridor of measurable snow from southeast Minnesota, northeastern Iowa, central/southern Wisconsin, northern Illinois, central/southern lower Michigan, northern Indiana and Ohio. Hey, it’s something to track before we go back to spring.

Interesting find. It’s not accounting for urban heating is it? Not sure where the ASOS station is located. Seems like it’s either that or the lake somehow affects it positively.

Right around 74” here, was more than I was expecting. 12th snowiest season as of now. All for breaking records.. if we get enough warmth like what’s forecasted this week and melt all that lake ice then have the bottom fall out toward the end of the month temp wise, we could have a shot at some top notch records.

Make that three!

Outside of a couple decent hitters early on, the majority of them were mood flakes to a dusting. It wasn’t all that active in Michigan despite all the talk about it, especially outside of the lake belts.

Less than an inch here.

Yeah, pretty much emphasizing how severe the storms are expected to be in a given area.

Was just looking at that too. Won’t be too bad to remember really. Dashes - going to be hefty. Lines - going to be rowdy. Hatched - Oh shit.