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Kevin Reilly

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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly

  1. Kevin Reilly
    Next Tomorrow NOAA will say they dropped the remaining 42 weather balloons in the eastern Pacific so modeling will become more reliable going forward our bad on the 0z model suite throw them out real deal starts at 12z runs Wednesday.
  2. Kevin Reilly
    You forgot the CRAS model!
  3. Kevin Reilly
    That’s hilarious in an hour it will be Cincy to Cleveland and then they will say someone is going to get clobbered in the east! Can’t go wrong.
  4. Kevin Reilly
    It’s got the right idea! This track makes more sense with the development and upstream block
  5. Kevin Reilly
    Yep storm development too Far East to me would be the biggest worries you cannot go wrong with the lined up telleconnectors and MJO entering into phase 8. Location Location Location
  6. Kevin Reilly
    Zippo here the middle finger is setting up along 95
  7. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County Cloudy 32 humidity 52% dewpoint 17
  8. Kevin Reilly
    News is good with creating fear and ratings.
  9. Kevin Reilly
    The only problem the GFS is not to be trusted it never usually nails down the finer details of subsidence like the other higher resolution models. The GFS just smooths everything out to give everyone a general 4-5" I do not see that happening. My bar is 2-3" most areas with someone getting ripped off in SE pa and only getting 1 to maybe 2".
  10. Kevin Reilly
    I am skeptical of this. I am sure there will be an area of subsidence somewhere between NE Md, SE PA, along the Delaware River, SW NJ
  11. Kevin Reilly
    Also wonder if with that hole or near that hole there may be a bit of sleet or freezing drizzle.
  12. Kevin Reilly
    Well I do have 96% humidity up here in SE Pa so there is juice available behind the weak cold front today.
  13. Kevin Reilly
    Truly humbling our snow total for the year is 0.4" I am very happy for the folks to the South and East looks like a solid 8-14" Looks like power issues in and around DC and Virginia.
  14. Kevin Reilly
    Exact here in Media Delaware County we had a dusting 3 times and it evaporated away. All told it snowed lightly for about 45 minutes now. All we have for it is 0.1" that has come and gone 3 times so I guess 0.3"
  15. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County 29 humidity 74% dewpoint 22 flurries light snow trace amounts.
  16. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County 13 miles SW of Philadelphia International Airport 8 miles north of the Delaware border 36 dewpoint 27 amazing at 3:30 it was 61 with a dewpoint of 58 expecting 2-4” here in my opinion.
  17. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County 36 dewpoint 27 amazing at 3:30 it was 61 with a dewpoint of 58 expecting 2-4” here in my opinion.
  18. Kevin Reilly
    Yea there was this one I think in 1988 where PHL had cirrus clouds and Wildwood got like 24" and snow drifts on the boardwalk think this was in the first 10 days of January too.
  19. Kevin Reilly
    Talk about cut off wow
  20. Kevin Reilly
    Toasty Atlantic warm layer off the ocean highly plausible water temps 46-48 across Delaware Bay
  21. Kevin Reilly
    Wonder if this stuff now is playing havoc with models for early Monday system. We had that line rip through here at lightning speed too dropped a quick half inch of rain winds gusted to 30-35 out of the WNW in Media Delaware County.
  22. Kevin Reilly
  23. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County a few flakes for 3 minutes or so 36f dewpoint 24 currently cloudy.
  24. Kevin Reilly
    Hmm check how warm overall the largest body of water is on Earth. The Pacific Rules all of the Lower 48 and there’s no end in sight. The Warm Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic aren’t helping either. This is our new normal with few exceptions over the past 10 years or so.
  25. Kevin Reilly
    Finally, it's showing clippers riding the boundary across the area warm south and cold north battleground in between like the idea, but the reality is probably weak systems being shredded apart and moving too fast to really dump. Looks like a progressive WNW flow but it's better than a fast WSW flow making slow progress.
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