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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly
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2023 Atlantic Hurricane season
Kevin Reilly replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Here is a question then? Tropical Cyclones are a means to evacuate the building up of heat along and just north of the Equator what will happen in the northern hemisphere come the later fall and winter months with all the record trapped heat air and water? I am going to assume very wild weather events on the horizon October 2023-March 2024. -
NWS is out that way seeing if it was a tornado. Now Media where I am is directly east of Glen Mills and I will tell you I heard what sounded like a jet plane (probably the low-level jet passing above my head) as 60-70 mph winds were ripping through for about 5-8 minutes could have been a remnant of a tornado yesterday.
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It just came through Media Delaware County winds have just shifted to the NW last 5 minutes sun is out now. I would say the cold front is right on the beaches of the Delaware River heading east into New Jersey fairly rapidly too. The front should clear the beaches along the Jersey Shore by 10 am if not sooner.
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Still moderate rain and lightning. It now has been raining and lightning since 6:35 pm. We have a 24-hour total of rain here at 2.50" 67 degrees currently. Our next two storms are in the pipeline leaving Montanna into the Dakotas right now and another for the weekend leaving Puget Sound. I don't remember an active patter like this in August. The sky today was hazed up a bit not sure if it was an overabundance of water vapor or Candian Smoke?
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Kevin Reilly replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Over up here 60-70 mph winds and dime size hail picked up 1.05" some minor damage.- 2,785 replies
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Wow that radar is one of the most impressive radar displays I have seen in years. That meso low and the line associated is racing towards the Jersey shore. I had my doubts it would make it further east and northeast. Wrong!! Wow
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Moderate rain with a bit of neon pick lightning left over. Picked up 1.05" total storm total here in Media 2.10" including last night. Winds were easily 60-70 mph here and we had some dime size hail. Took a ride between here and Springfield power was still on for all some trees down and branches call it minor damage in this part of Delaware County. I am sure the damage will be higher in other parts. I would definitely classify that storm as severe with the 60-70 mph and dime size hail. Pretty quick rise on Crum Creek too here.
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The sun has vanished here in minutes in Media. Winds have been cranking SSW 25-35. Guess we are about to see what the line has to offer here. Looks like the bow echo is racing ENE and then NE.
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Kevin Reilly replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Turning SSE up here in SE Pa- 2,785 replies
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86 now partly Sunny back and forth pressure 29.76 falling
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I really think the main threat is perhaps SW Delaware County Points south. We already have a stabilizing feature here now with these clouds from about Central Delaware County points east and northeast with all the cloud cover. These low clouds were showing signs of burning off at 7 am but there are firmly entrenched for now.
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I am thinking most severe weather is going to be SW Chester County points South and West. A few severe storms capable of producing tornadoes could sneak into southern and southwestern Delaware County into points south and west.
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Currently low clouds racing through 69 right now dewpoint 66. Picked up 1.05" last night first round came through at 11 PM finished up by 1 am a break then got more 2 AM to 4 AM. Round one had some good winds with it 25-35 mph out of the SW no lightning at all with any of that last night.
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Also, almost always the first round always robs energy from the second round it has happened this year a few times already. I would expect the energy robbing will be problematic also cloud debris could be another issue.
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Yea that is a pretty potent low passing by to our northwest. Rapidly moving lines of thunderstorms sw to ne.
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The thing I do not like about this Spring and Summer Season April to Now is the occurrences of Smoke from Canada. I mean I went down to Kitty Hawk, NC and the sun was blocked out for 2 days due to Wildfire Smoke even there, it's crazy. Get ready for more flooding and possible Severe Weather Monday Afternoon and Night!
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I am in KItty Hawk, NC and the smoke is very thick again all aloft, but the sun is 90% blocked here pretty amazing.
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If you ever needed a negative NAO it will be this winter! The abnormally warm SST's in the Atlantic and Gulf will be a huge energy source. Too far off for sure but how much worse can it be compared to last winter.
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Hmmm I heard of Big Daddy snowstorms from another outlet shouldn't that be copyrighted? LOL
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I think the seeds of the winter pattern are already in place just bring up the water vapor map and see the current pattern all systems go for southern jet storms to ride up the east coast.
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I am down here in Kitty Hawk, NC and drove to Jockey's Ridge down in Nags Head, NC for sunset and the smoke is clearly here. Also, pretty cool down here for Outer Banks Standards 75 degrees at sunset.
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2023 Atlantic Hurricane season
Kevin Reilly replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
This same look occurred about two weeks ago the result was a cold front coming down from the great lakes and a wave of low pressure exiting the Cape Hatteras Coastline moving ENE out to sea on Sunday morning we shall see. Hour 384 by the way good luck. -
2023 Atlantic Hurricane season
Kevin Reilly replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Yes, in November in the Gulf that season will last until January. -
2023 Atlantic Hurricane season
Kevin Reilly replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
I would say that this system will stay away from the East Coast looks to be quite protected in the current pattern and the pattern that is projected to come to the East Coast.