wasnow215

11 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said:

It would appear we're homing in on the SE VA/NE NC special that some have been suspecting since last night. Hope they cash in!

Precip over at 90 hours?

5 hours ago, WxSynopsisDavid said:

6z NAM at end of its range is still snowing. 8in of snow on the ground across south central VA into the middle peninsula. This is a healthy, tasty pre-game for the Saturday storm.

NAM 12z pretty much takes away Thursday now and revs up the storm starting Fri

7 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said:

Not sure I’m buying it but we’ll see. GFS took a big step towards the euro for Friday-Saturday. Hope the euro holds. Cautiously excited 

Saw that too! Interesting. I remember living in S Jersey before the Prez Day weekend blizzard in 2003. Sat morning had 2-3”. Sunday morning the big one started and got 20 more inches.

0z NAM big hit for THURSDAY. 6” in spots.

Just now, Ji said:

Wow

It’s fantastic. The posting was horrible leading up to yours. Lol. Rare here but I though it’s was gonna suck by a lot of the posting. Onto the GFS.

Just now, WinterWxLuvr said:

Looks like it took a step back

Which way.?

39 minutes ago, Sernest14 said:

Has it started yalls way?  Looks like (based on traffic cams) it’s started in the city?

Started in Glen Allen

Snowing lightly in Glen Allen’-Staples Mill Rd/Montpelier 295 exit.

Just now, eaglesin2011 said:

Yeah, we definitely don't need that.. hopefully the warm air from the coast comes in quicker if that's now excepted

Oh it will but historically it’s hard to get that surface cold air scoured away.

NAM 12z Ice

5 minutes ago, Snowchaser said:

Talk about crayons 

So it looks like start times in NE AND southern Va are both at 1am Monday. “That would be a neat trick.”

8 minutes ago, Snowchaser said:

Southern forum right now 

This forum right now 

WWA tonight. Freezing drizzle 4a-9a

Worked for 13 hours today. The retail food place I lead was one of the few “games in town” haha w so many closed cuz of snow. Just now being able to catch up on this thread. Good storm. 

49 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said:

All snow now, coming down pretty good 

Live in Glen Allen/Hunton Park but work here in Mechanicsville. Moderate snow. All snow.

19 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said:

Hopefully it is wrong, but in this area things have to be almost perfect to get a big snow...

I can see sleet being an issue if it really amps up.... Maybe we will get lucky and get the 35mph winds with thunder snow for an extended period of time and have it add up quick ..lol .. who knows ..

Allot still up in the air with this one 

 

GFS has been all in for here for a few days now. 0z actually ticked a tad south from 18z just now. So I think we are solid for 3-6

19 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said:

Latest HRRR keeps warmth around a little longer, cutting back totals 

HRRR not reliable. Not trying to be a weenie but it’s not.

11 minutes ago, Ravens94 said:

Pretty clear trend and it's still snowing in most locations. Only to hour 16

Only issue is HRRR is as dependable as WFT ground game this far out.

18 GFS is a perfect hit for RVA. Snow depth map is insane. Between 2am to 8am avg close to 2” per hour or close to it. Again I’m NOT saying it’ll happen. But GFS has consistently shown snow for days. And Euro, CMC and other models are on board for at least some snow. Yes warm ground etc, but those rates with plummeting temps and the first complete rush hour morning drive in a while will be rough. 

18z Euro fr rain?

I’m in SC currently but doesn’t look like gonna hit 50 in RVA. Am I seeing this right?

5 minutes ago, Sernest14 said:

Ouch!

That would be very very bad. 

5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Thanks! That ice in RVA would make this past weekend’s ice look tame. As per this GFS run anyway. 

Anyone have freezing rain/sleet maps that includes all of Va from 12z gfs? Please

9 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said:

Yeah, this is starting to look like the normal sleet fest that we normally get around here.. Maybe a couple inches before change over to sleet the freezing rain/rain

Today will be interesting to see how warm we get ...Forecast is mid 50s

.

I don’t see anyway we hit the mid 50’s. MAYBE 50