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GaWx

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About GaWx

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KSAV
  • Gender
    Not Telling
  • Location:
    SAV, GA
  • Interests
    weather stats, sports, walking/hiking

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  1. GaWx
    I’ve got the solution. If you want to minimize the chance for a warmer than normal winter where you live, just move down south and your chances will fall substantially!
  2. GaWx
    Thanks, Chuck. Does it say anything about the May AO, That’s projected right now to be +AO.
  3. GaWx
    FWIW, it appears as of the current GEFS 14 day forecast that we’re probably headed for a net relatively small -NAO for May as a whole.
  4. GaWx
    BoM May RONI not surprisingly reduced from +1.1 to +0.5 but later months actually a bit warmer than prior run with Oct +3.0 vs +2.7 prior run and +2.7 record for a single month (1982) 5/9/26 run: May was at +1.1 5/16/26 run: May down to +0.5 but warmer later months
  5. GaWx
    Weekly relative SSTa update: Nino 3.4 slight rise to +0.5 (Nino threshhold): Cal wk midpt…...1+2……...3….…..3.4……..…4 01APR2026 0.8 -0.3 -0.3 0.2 08APR2026 1.1 -0.1 -0.2 0.3 15APR2026 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 22APR2026 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.5 29APR2026 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 06MAY2026 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.5 13MAY2026 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.6
  6. GaWx
    Pretty solid -SOIs all due to very low Tahiti SLP as Darwin is also a bit BN: 16 May 2026 1008.21 1009.70 -23.11 -7.40 -0.93 15 May 2026 1009.15 1010.00 -18.21 -6.36 -0.50 14 May 2026 1009.81 1010.30 -15.45 -5.70 -0.07 13 May 2026 1010.40 1010.50 -12.47
  7. GaWx
    My educated guess is that the current/daily RONI equivalent is ~+0.5 although like the ONI it is always moving, of course.
  8. GaWx
    Lows in this area were in the mid 50s, significantly below the low 60s normal. Dewpoints are still way down in the low 40s.
  9. GaWx
    This evening it was warm (mid to low 80s), but dewpoints were only in the upper 30s, something sometimes hardly seen in an entire May in this area. So, that along with a decent breeze meant enjoyable walking vs what’s typical for mid May. It was 100% sunny.
  10. GaWx
    This tweet is a bit deceptive because whereas 2026 ONI is, indeed, warmer than ‘97 and ‘15, ‘26 RONI is actually slightly cooler than both at the moment. Stay tuned to see what lies ahead!
  11. GaWx
    Latest CDAS suggests resumption of warming started: this is an approximation of ONI but with a slight cold bias (this implies RONI daily equivalent of ~+0.5)
  12. GaWx
    Latest CFSv2 ens AAM prog: nothing notable
  13. GaWx
    Any rain is good. And even the clouds, alone, keeping down temps and thus evaporation is beneficial. But the more beneficial rains of the last few days been much more the case further S in S GA in a places like Alma, and Valdosta, as well as in N FL places like Gainesville and especially TLH. I got a very nice 1.2” on 5/2, but only ~0.25” since due to all of the rain periods since being only a couple of hundredths at a time.
  14. GaWx
    After eating a snack, I’m waiting in my vehicle here at the park to see if the current light rain will lighten up and thus allow for a mainly dry walk. I hope so because walking conditions are otherwise pretty darn good for mid-May with only mid 60 temps, a nice NE breeze, and dewpoints in the mid 50s. Regardless, today was/is very pleasant comfort-wise for mid-May. Edit: I got the walk in as the rain stayed very light.
  15. GaWx
    Here’s the raw (rather than relative) anomaly for the daily OISST in Nino 1+2: ~+1.5C (relative is ~+1.0C)
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