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Buddy1987

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Everything posted by Buddy1987

  1. Buddy1987
    By HR 51 at 5h everything kind of evens out basically with the ULL compared to 18z.
  2. Buddy1987
    0Z NAM at 39 already has the ULL southwest of 18Z position by a pretty good bit (eastern OK/western AR vs now southern OK/northern TX. More neutral tilt then positive and the confluence and vort in northern new england looks to be pressing down some. Not entirely sure how that affects things as the run continues but definitely some noticeable differences.
  3. Buddy1987
    Just for ha-ha’s, are the SREF’s even available anymore? I always used to like to see which way the NAM was going to go at 0z based on them.
  4. Buddy1987
    I’m looking for the common ground when all is set and done, unless GFS takes a large jump westward tonight, then I will start to get a tick more concerned.
  5. Buddy1987
    Middle ground compromise in store..? Gonna find out one way or the other. Thanks for posting.
  6. Buddy1987
    Anybody going to help out with 18z euro when it comes out? Curious to see what it’s doing.
  7. Buddy1987
    Gotcha. Appreciate it. To your point the ULL track still wasn’t bad for the northern and northwestern crew and did even appear to be a bit stronger with the closed contour. My take would be qpf would tend to work out in most cases to the northwest of the track. Guess I’d take my chances with a MYR track although I feel like @BornAgain13 area and then into Winston Salem/GSO would seem to benefit a bit more from that track. Beggers definitely cannot be choosers this season.
  8. Buddy1987
    Ugh… 18z GEFS 24 hr qpf looks to have toned it down for now and shifted precip more south and east of SW VA and NC mountains. Hopefully it’s a small blip and 0z comes back.
  9. Buddy1987
    Nice man! I'm in-between the 5.2 and 6.9 where the dark blue intersects the purple.
  10. Buddy1987
    That’s a Floyd VA to Blacksburg and NRV mauling. Also you know something’s up when @Discis lurking..
  11. Buddy1987
    Yea kinda figured. Seemed to me like that meso high and the ULL were timing perfectly. Any trend you or anyone else on here that have noticed with models slowing things down too much this year or no? Guess I don’t see why this can’t absolutely be a plausible scenario. Would be unfortunate but I expect nothing less with this winter.
  12. Buddy1987
    Slower bad thing at this point or not necessarily with dynamics in play? I know it was the Nam but it too was slower than 6z. Seems to be a trend. Been in a couple meetings so haven’t been able to really digest anything else.
  13. Buddy1987
    Hate it for people to my north and east but that was a shellacking for Central/Southern VA. Becoming cautiously optimistic.
  14. Buddy1987
    GFS another demolition for my direct area into the northern mountains of NC. Starting to get cautiously optimistic. If that comes to fruition, going to lay down some beautiful rates.
  15. Buddy1987
    12Z Icon would make things happen in a big way for Western NC mountains/SW VA and up into Central VA 81 corridor.
  16. Buddy1987
    12z ICON track is the recipe that creates big events for Western NC mountains/SW VA.
  17. Buddy1987
    Oh boyyyyy hopefully this ain't any type of bad juju. I like that you are starting it though!
  18. Buddy1987
    There's also some type of meso high (about 1027-1028 sliding through OH into NYS around the end of the run..) that can never hurt and based on surface reflection, you can see snow developing as the run finishes over the western NC mountains. Wherever this thing ends up traversing it's going to pack a nice punch of heavy precip.
  19. Buddy1987
    Here is NAM at 84. That would be a good thing for our areas in my opinion. Big ole bowling ball as you can see with moisture rapidly pooling in the Carolinas.
  20. Buddy1987
    Looks like 12z Nam is not going to be as progressive this run. Closed contour over eastern OK/ western AR at hr 57.
  21. Buddy1987
    12z NAM closed low at 57 over eastern OK/ western AR. Looks less progressive than 6z for sure.
  22. Buddy1987
    I found it very interesting that Blacksburg didn’t even mention it whatsoever in their AFD. The word light snow was loosely mentioned Saturday night. Rather surprising there.
  23. Buddy1987
    Yea really don’t have a single complaint considering I myself haven’t seen accumulating snowfall for freakin ever. Worst case scenario favored climo spots score. Best case the ULL bowling ball allows a whole bunch to cash in.
  24. Buddy1987
    6z GFS an absolute nuking of the 81 corridor. @WinterWxLuvr@clskinsfan
  25. Buddy1987
    Yoda at least for the 81 crew I’d take my chances with that setup.. baby steps towards a slower less progressive system and dynamics ftw. Here’s to a good 0z run
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