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Great Snow 1717

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Everything posted by Great Snow 1717

  1. Some type of animal that digs and /or burrows. Can even be large earthworms.
  2. Considering that back in the 80's everyone and his brother were forming hardrock/metal bands there is no chance of kiss having 5 of the worse 20 albums of the 80's....there was some absolutely terrible music made during the 80's....perhaps he has a Dee Snider poster hanging on the wall??
  3. It is why my wife and I will end up living in northern New England at some point.
  4. You put more emphasis on snow totals rather than cold. I love cold weather so I factor that into the grade.
  5. but not 15-16?....I'd toss 99-00 on that list....20-21 also makes it. ...
  6. Below normal snowfall and above average warmth equates to an F- grade from me...so we will just have to disagree on the grade. A D grade in my book is still a rat of a winter...
  7. You are far too sensitive when it comes to your winter forecast lol
  8. Well they can give a grade for the winter...mine is an F-..and even that is a generous grade..
  9. Even with the blizzard it was an F- winter......a blizzard in 16 wouldn't have saved SNE from a terrible winter......and keep in mind that our area did meet the guidelines for a blizzard on 1/29...
  10. I think many people discounted the warm fall when preparing their winter forecast(s). It was a historically warm fall. And it was the main reason why I had very low expectations for the winter of 21-22. Prior to this winter I only had lower expectations for one winter and that was the winter of 15-16. Dec- Above average temp Jan-Below average temp Feb-above average temp Mar-well on its way to being a well above average temp month. Forecasts for March that called for it to be a cold and snowy month are going to bust badly.
  11. In reviewing your forecast, I noticed that you did not mention the months leading into the winter season. ..in other word what was taking place weatherwise.
  12. What do you think the keys are for improving seasonal forecasts for New England?
  13. How long has the analog information been available for??
  14. as I mentioned...the mets experience and knowledge of the area played a role, which means taking into consideration past seasons. And many mets do just rip and read a model(s) to make their forecasts. How many actually make a forecast without referencing the models?
  15. But you have to keep in mind that back then there was less information available to mets. There wasn't mentioning of models and analog years. It was more of an old school approach to forecasting. And that led to mets at times having much different forecasts. Mets back then often took the time to explain their forecasts which is far different than now. Now mets are like Brian Kenney on the MLB Network...a whole lot of numbers and graphics. At one time, back in the dark ages Channel 7 has a weekend met that really went out on a limb....he would give a forecast for the next 7 days during his Sunday evening weather segment ....which was unheard of back then. the following Sunday he would grade his forecast for the previous 7 days and then forecast the next 7 days..I have long forgotten his name. Walt Drag is someone I consider to be an old school met. And I mean that as a compliment. I really enjoyed reading the discussions when he was at Box. I like Tip's approach also.
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