I think many people discounted the warm fall when preparing their winter forecast(s). It was a historically warm fall. And it was the main reason why I had very low expectations for the winter of 21-22. Prior to this winter I only had lower expectations for one winter and that was the winter of 15-16.
Dec- Above average temp
Jan-Below average temp
Feb-above average temp
Mar-well on its way to being a well above average temp month. Forecasts for March that called for it to be a cold and snowy month are going to bust badly.