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IWXwx

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  1. IWX - 646 AM EDT SUN OCT 27 2019 ...HIGHEST WIND REPORTS... LOCATION SPEED TIME/DATE PROVIDER FORT WAYNE INTERNATIONAL AP 56 MPH 0101 AM 10/27 ASOS GOSHEN 55 MPH 0605 AM 10/27 ASOS DEFIANCE 54 MPH 0405 AM 10/27 ASOS ROANN 52 MPH 0245 AM 10/27 CWOP SOUTH BEND INTERNATIONAL AP 51 MPH 0536 AM 10/27 ASOS GRANT COUNTY MUNICIPAL APT 49 MPH 0215 AM 10/27 AWOS GRISSOM AFB PERU 48 MPH 0248 AM 10/27 AWOS 3.3 E OTTAWA (NWS/FAA) 48 MPH 0515 AM 10/27 MESOWEST SOMERSET 47 MPH 0225 AM 10/27 CWOP HUNTINGTON 46 MPH 0455 AM 10/27 AWOS LOGANSPORT 46 MPH 0255 AM 10/27 AWOS PORTLAND 45 MPH 0415 AM 10/27 AWOS SCOTT 45 MPH 0207 AM 10/27 CWOP
  2. It's really hauling the mail (with apologies to Chicagowx).
  3. I hope ensemble member No 5 of the GEFS is not a precursor to winter in Indiana this year
  4. Hoosier, you nailed it. The ILX AFD isn't out yet. IWX- LOOKING FURTHER AT THE GUST POTENTIAL, ENDED UP RAISING GUSTS SAT NIGHT/SUN AM WITH STRONG PRESSURE RISE/FALL COUPLET MOVING THROUGH AND MOMENTUM TRANSFER INDICATING BETTER WINDS AND LOW LEVEL INVERSION ON SOUNDINGS LOOKS A LITTLE WEAKER THAN ORIGINALLY PROGGED. WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED TO SEE GUSTS ABOVE 35 MPH AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY AT THE LAKE, BUT IT'S ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG/EAST OF I-69. LOT- ASIDE FROM THE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN THREAT FROM THIS STORM, WE WILL ALSO HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS IS ESPECIALLY THE CASE OVER LAKE MICHIGAN, DUE TO THE ONSHORE COMPONENT. SOME MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE SURFACE LOW COULD DEEP DOWN INTO THE LOWER 990S MB SUNDAY EVENING. WINDS ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE OUT OF THE EAST- NORTHEAST ON SATURDAY AS THE SURFACE LOW APPROACHES. WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A PERIOD OF EASTERLY WINDS UP AROUND 30 KT LATER IN THE DAY, WE COULD HAVE WAVES ON THE LAKE INCREASE TO IN EXCESS OF 6' FOR A PERIOD, WHICH COULD INCREASE THE THREAT FOR SOME MINOR LAKE SHORE FLOODING OVER THE IL SHORES. IND- IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN, WINDS WILL GUST TO 30-40 MPH WITH GOOD PRESSURE GRADIENT FORCES AND STRONG WINDS ALOFT IN PLAY AS THE SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH. IF WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN BETTER THAN ANTICIPATED, ISOLATED WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AND A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED IN A FUTURE FORECAST PACKAGE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBILITY.
  5. We haven't had an extended period of 20's out here yet. I still have romaine and green peppers growing in my garden. I may have to pick them early next week though as we might see a freeze later in the week.
  6. Thanks for posting that. I just looked at the surface winds on the model. (I was looking at Tropical Tidbits, which doesn't offer the 925 mb map). It does depict a pocket of stronger surface winds just south/south east of the low, especially as it bottoms out, but the 10 meter map doesn't show those winds mixing as readily to the surface (only 25-30 mph) as it moves into northern IN/IL and pressures begin to rise.
  7. I also have that reputation. I know just enough about the weather to be dangerous. There is not much seriousness in my DNA. I really am sorry to call you out on something that in fact had a different meaning. What is really a coincidence is that I used to call my oldest daughter (she's an adult now) piglet, because she loves pigs.
  8. Hey, no problem. I just happened to be doing some research on Greek language and that popped up. I had been reading and posting here earlier, so I already had your screen name in my head. I'm the one who should be apologizing. I had no idea that it also is a Hungarian word. I hope you will forgive me. I just assumed that it was an inside joke.
  9. I didn't check the uncle, but you have a good point. I'd put the lawn chairs and trash cans away just to be safe.
  10. The RGEM is on its own. The other guidance doesn't drop it below around 995. Either way, copious moisture will accompany it. Downstate IL is a lock for widespread 2+" with the NAM (of course) bringing those amounts up into ORD land.
  11. I'm liking this early potential. It's usually a month from now before I get excited about tracking a storm. It also brings all of the knowledgeable posters out of the woodwork.
  12. Definitely not a slam dunk, but it could add some juice
  13. Looks like you made have had a wake low up in your area behind that rain shield this morning. Some pretty healthy gusts reported.
  14. IWX has been beating the strong wind threat for several days. SPC isn't playing ball. These high shear low CAPE fall systems have had a history of producing some blow semis over winds.
  15. You beat me to it. I just popped in to post that. Makes sense and looks interesting for the subforum.
  16. Although I usually don't have much to complain about during fall, I figured we should have a place to banter. The IND discussion this afternoon had some sound scientific advice: SO, IF YOU ARE GOING TO BE OUTSIDE THIS EVENING... LISTEN TO YOUR MOM AND WEAR YOUR COAT.
  17. We could, but with the winds expected to stay up, I'm not planning covering the ol' sensitive vegetation.
  18. Good to see everyone back and ready for winter. The gut says wild, but I don't know how wet. Buckeye, did your daughter graduate? Hopefully you won't have to go back to the hellhole that is Marion, IN. Caveat: The campus is very nice.
  19. Apparently, "flash drought" is being used to describe the current conditions across the South by the National Drought Mitigation Center, a sudden increase in drought conditions as compared the normal slow onset drought. NOAA and the University of Colorado published a summary paper on research concerning the flash drought the Plains endured in 2017. I had never heard this term used before reading this article: https://www.wishtv.com/news/national/flash-drought-worsening-across-14-southern-us-states/
  20. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 616 AM EDT THU OCT 03 2019 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT INDIANAPOLIS... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 92 DEGREES WAS SET AT INDIANAPOLIS YESTERDAY...OCTOBER 2 2019. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 89 SET IN 1953. THE 92 DEGREE HIGH TEMPERATURE ALSO TIES THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR THE MONTH OF OCTOBER...WHICH WAS JUST SET THE DAY BEFORE ON OCTOBER 1 2019.
  21. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 617 PM EDT TUE OCT 1 2019 ...NEW DAILY AND MONTHLY RECORD HIGHS SET AT INDIANAPOLIS INDIANA... A NEW RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR OCTOBER 1 OF 92 DEGREES WAS SET AT INDIANAPOLIS TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 89 SET IN 1897. THIS IS THE SECOND DAY IN A ROW OF SETTING NEW DAILY RECORD HIGHS. TODAY/S HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 92 DEGREES ALSO SET A NEW RECORD FOR THE MONTH OF OCTOBER. THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 91 SET ON OCTOBER 8 2007.
  22. 89'd at FWA, but broke the record by 1 ('71) and IND broke their's by 3 with a 92 (89 also in '71),
  23. Looking forward to 'nado vid that Cyclone is gonna snag
  24. Record daily highs for IND are in jeopardy and the all-time October record may also be threatened on Tuesday. INDY RECORD HIGHS: 9/30: 89 (1971) 10/1: 89 (1897) 10/2: 89 (1953) OCTOBER: 91 (10/8/2007)
  25. I imagine that the farmers in our area are thankful for this dry weather and much above normal temperatures continuing into late September to allow their corn to mature properly. Most fields around here were planted very late.
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