IWXwx

Several recent ORD Februarys are insulted by those posts

Call it intuition, but I think we'll score in this area (North Central/Northeast IN) even if it comes as multiple minor events over the next 10 days or so. Anyone down toward I 70 might as well post the Eurythmics.

The Watch just went up for the eastern couple of tiers of counties in IN and the whole western half of Ohio.

I vote for cromartie

Thanks for the input. It really brings to light some of the factors that goes into issuing products. It will be interesting to see how it affects forecast wording when advisories finally drop. Sorry to completely derail the thread. Now back to your regularly scheduled short/medium range discussion which looks to be more interesting next week.

I also see green when I look out my back door. I got tired of dragging the push mower out to hit that little spot in my back yard. (I use the rider on the rest of the yard.) Artificial grass FTW.

First of all, I know this is way off-topic for this thread, but who's gonna put me in AMwx jail? That's interesting because at IWX, they are really promoting using "impact-based messaging" and I assumed that this is the mantra NWS wide. Maybe part of the problem is rigidity of following the criteria for meeting a particular product. For example, at IWX the criteria for heavy snow is 3-5" for a WWA (or 2-4" at the forecaster's discretion), and greater than 6" in 12 hours or 8" in 24 hours for a Warning. In conversations I've had with their WCM, I got the impression that in the past, they may have gotten their wrist slapped for "overwarning" an event. For example, upgrading to a Winter Storm Warning for 5" of snow, even though there were exacerbating conditions such as blowing snow or glaze ice underneath the snowpack. It seems that with impact-based forecasting, they've loosened up some and given the individual forecaster some leeway in issuing products. Just my point of view, maybe some NWS mets can chime in.

Congrats ORD/DTW. Cold rain with wraparound mood flakes for FWA, per usual.

So I see the new media buzzword to add to "polar vortex" is "atmospheric river."

Alek style

A graphic by a local station shows just how streaky temps were last month. Seventeen out of 31 days were above normal, but the bitter cold before Christmas drove us to below normal for the month.

As of Midnight last night -9.36" https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=ind&product=CLI&issuedby=ind

Lol

Anxiously awaiting my Boxing Day turd duster

Here ya go...

I just noticed that FWA has a 7" deficit in precip for the year. That Friday/Saturday system is going to need to dump a lot of rain to cut into that by year's end.

Travel restrictions in place here. Motorists stranded and dozens and dozens of wrecks. After several measurements this morning, 2.5" is my best estimate. As Jackstraw said earlier, 50 MPH wind gusts and -30° wind chills for hours that don't look to let up until Saturday night. The winds have actually been getting stronger as the day goes on and whiteout conditions are occurring. Winter Storm Warning conditions here no doubt. As others have said, brutal is the only way to describe it.

A little something I made, thought I'd share here

Good luck. I always am concerned about you guys and gals working in these conditions. Today is probably right up there with the worst ones.

Thanks for the in-depth meteorological reasoning.

Nothing to be active about from here. I've been expecting ~3" and that's what's happening. The brutal wind and wind chills are still the highlight. I know you're referring to the ORD crew who thought they were reeling one in, only to have it come off the hook at boat-side.

As of right now, I am the only person in our county that can send a WEA (at least for the time being.) I also wrote the SOP for sending them. None of that ticky-tack bs is getting sent on my watch. However, you did bring up a good point on the zombie apocalypse. I may have to include that.

Man, the entertainment value of the storm thread is priceless. Watching weenies' emotions ebb and flow with each model run, especially the Chicago posters. This is still going to be a major-impact storm, whether you get three or nine. I've been kicked back over here in FWAland absolutely satisfied with my incoming 3" and 50 mph gusts. I'm looking forward to sitting in front of the picture window and enjoying the blizzard. Will be a white Christmas for almost all in the subforum, and after the past several Decembers, what's to be disappointed about?

Snow globe finally ended here this morning after continuing almost unabated since Friday afternoon. When combined the five days in mid-November, I don't remember the last time we had snow globe conditions occurring totaling a week before Christmas.

Yep, every model is wrong.