IWXwx

We missed rain to the southeast earlier and now whiffing to the northwest with flooding rains. Hopefully will see some scraps later tonight.

Ditto here

You and ChicagoWX’s buddy Chad called out IND on NWSChat last night for calling it a “large and dangerous tornado” when it was clearly a small and weak one (landspout?). They said they issued based on info they had at that time, that they were very busy, that they issued a regular warning 10 minutes later, and finally gave half-hearted mea culpa.

One tornado, two states. The ef-2 damage occurred in Illinois. It was on the ground for quite awhile. ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR MAY 19 2022 TORNADO EVENT... .WABASH COUNTY ILLINOIS TO GIBSON AND KNOX COUNTIES IN INDIANA... RATING: EF-2 ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 115 MPH PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 26 MILES PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 300 YARDS FATALITIES: 0 INJURIES: 0 START DATE: MAY 19 2022 START TIME: 931 PM CDT START LOCATION: 0.6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEENSBURG ILLINOIS END DATE: MAY 19 2022 END TIME: 957 PM CDT/1057 PM EDT END LOCATION: 0.4 MILES WEST OF IONA INDIANA SURVEY SUMMARY: NUMEROUS TREES WERE UPROOTED OR SNAPPED OFF, MANY OF WHICH FELL ON HOMES AND STRUCTURES. DOZENS OF POWER POLES SNAPPED OFF. MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS. SEVERAL PIVOT IRRIGATION SYSTEMS FLIPPED.

I'm not trying to talk you out of it, but Stebo's right about crappy chasing territory and SPC's being pretty wishy-washy about the possibility of something popping the cap. But if it happens, Katie bar the door (and protect your windshield).

You called that one. The real heat isn't going to reach this far east, but I'll take my low-mid 80's for multiple days.

I'm happy with finally having a pattern change that truly flips sensible weather from cool and rainy. I just checked my CoCoRaHS records and realized that until yesterday, we have had at least a trace of precip in 38 out of the past 50 days. That includes a stretch of 16 days in a row (3/30-4/14) and 22 out of 23 days (3/23-4/14) with at least a trace. I'd say that's a legit complaint. Now on to summer!

Yeah, well I expect it in March and April, which were in fact quite windy. But we're barreling through May with yet still almost daily winds gusting over 20 and many days 30. Guess I should have taken it to the complaint thread, in which I'm about to post another complaint concerning precip and clouds.

I'm looking forward to no wind. It was very gusty here again today.

FWA hit 100° in 14 years since 1909, or about once every 8 years, so yeah, we're due. The longest stretch they went without hitting 100° was 17 years (1963-1979). They also hit 99° nine times since 1909, which equates to once every 5 years of hitting at least 99°. Since 2012, the yearly highs at FWA have been fairly pedestrian: 2013-95° 2014-93° 2015-90° 2016-94° 2017-95° 2018-97° 2019-95° 2020-95° 2021-92°

And it's no better to your south. IND posted this little tidbit on their FB page: "It's been a cool stretch into April so far with no 70° days. Last time this happened was 1990 when the first 70° day didn't happen until the 22nd."

My daily gauge readings for April. How about a pattern change that actually alters sensible weather? 0.13 T 0.07 0.10 0.03 0.06 0.35 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.04 T 0.72 0

I just read an article that discussed "Tornado Alley" now including more southern states. Without getting into a debate about what constitutes tornado alley, the following was tacked on to the end of the article that caught my attention: "As these storms increase, what can we do to prepare for them?" "Recently, legislation was introduced to improve tornado forecasting and warnings. This bill has been in the works for a while but has advanced by a Senate committee. It would require the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration to evaluate its IT infrastructure to get information out to the public faster." "NOAA is working to simplify how alerts are communicated to make them easier to understand while also taking into account the socioeconomic factors that put people at risk. The goal of the new bill would make warning times go from 15 minutes to one hour, giving people more time to find shelter." I'm shocked, shocked I tell ya, that passing this legislation will in of itself advance the science of predicting tornadoes to an hour ahead of time. Holy low verification scores/warning burnout. https://www.wrtv.com/national/newsy/tornado-alley-is-expanding-hitting-more-southern-states-than-ever

Well, at least there's this to look forward to on Friday: As the low broadens and shifts into the MI/OH/Lake Erie area during the day Friday expect to see a wintry mix of precipitation with continued raw and breezy conditions through the afternoon and evening. With the location of the low and the slow movement there is a possibility for convective instability to support graupel and possibly even some thunders snow...but the confidence of exact timing and location is uncertain. With abundant cloud cover GFS MUCAPE increases briefly to over 400 over NE IN/NW OH...but again a LOT can change with the model runs and have introduced a slight chance of -T for a brief period Friday afternoon/evening.

Dropping parachutes right now, giving a quick dusting. This would be pretty cool in November through February. In April? Naso much

We are getting some light rain this evening and is trying to flip to snow, but we'll see no where near 0.70". Also, this happened a few blocks from my house at 5 AM this morning.

Only 0.13" here last night too. lol We did get some serious winds mixed down this morning between 5 and 6 AM with several gusts measuring between 55-65 MPH across northeast Indiana. I have to go survey a couple of damage reports, one destroying an attached garage.

I figured I might as well start this one and combine the two seasons since we are a ways into so-called spring and at least anecdotally have experienced a string of condensed springs (at least in my part of the subforum).

Those pileups are the main reason that NWS added snow squall warnings to their repertoire. However, people who drive headlong into a white out are the same people who pay no attention to NWS warnings.

We had mood flakes off and on all day yesterday, that mood being a sour one.

LOL 433 PM CDT Fri Mar 25 2022 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN WILL AND SOUTHERN DUPAGE COUNTIES... At 432 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Naperville, moving east at 50 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and small hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. This shower has a history of producing 70 mph winds! IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings. Locations impacted include... Aurora, Joliet, Naperville, Bolingbrook, Downers Grove, Romeoville, Plainfield, Woodridge, Lockport, New Lenox, Homer Glen, Mokena, Lemont, Burr Ridge, Westmont, Lisle, Darien, Crest Hill,

I threw up a Facebook post on our EMA page this morning warning of quickly changing visibility with some squalls. Fortunately, it will be in the late evening/AM hours down here, so will hopefully be low impact.

I'm surprised no one is considering driving to central OH this afternoon. Good chasing terrain for the most part.