TWCCraig

If it wasn't for the 1st of August being below 80 degrees, ISP would currently have it's longest run of consecutive 80+ degree days at 63 days. August 2022 was the warmest August on record at ISP as well. Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature >= 80 for Islip Area, NY (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Run Length Ending Date Period of record: 1963-09-05 to 2022-08-31 1 41 2010-08-11 2 33 2022-07-31 - 33 1966-07-29 4 30 2022-08-31 5 27 2019-07-22 6 25 1988-08-18 7 24 1995-08-05 8 22 2015-08-09 - 22 2012-07-18 - 22 1998-07-30

0.0" again 0.30" for August 0.78" since July 1st

It's a bit high here too since FRG has only had 1.00" since July 1st. It'll blend the precip totals over a space since it doesn't have the resolution to pinpoint exactly where it has and hasn't rained. Though it is good to show where some areas have done better, and worse.

Rough estimate of precipitation totals over the past 60 days. Shows the south shore of Long Island being the driest in the entire region, on par with a portion of the Cape.

What site is that with the time-series summaries? The one @bluewave posts. I would love to find out the driest 60-day/90-day period for each of climate sites around here.

Looks like ISP will get hit with a storm, bringing their monthly total up. Storm just missed to my north. Bone dry here

That cell weakened a lot by the time it got here. Just a sprinkle here with the sun trying to come out already. It just doesn't want to rain

That cell over Long Beach looks decent. If only it would just hold together by the time it gets here.

This is the driest July 1st - August 25th period on record at ISP. 1966 had 2.91" by this day. FRG has only had 1.00" since July 1st.

Can only hope the HRRR is on to something for tomorrow. Would certainly help bring some temporary relief

Oh ok, they must have not updated that site because it hit 91 on this day last year at FRG. But then again, FRG's period of record only starts in 1999

What site? ISP's record for today is 91 set in 1995

The drought to me is pretty interesting. Almost a Mediterranean style summer. Only had 3 events since the beginning of July over 0.10" of precip. A nearby station recorded only 0.78" since July 1st. Consistent stable marine air on the south shore pretty much kills any chance, but it's usually not this bad. Globals are continuing the dry spell here. Must be a lot of sinking air on the western flank of the WAR.

0.00" here, not too far from you Maybe we can get some showers tonight or tomorrow. Not getting my hopes up though.

Bust

Models look pretty good for rain chances tomorrow. An area wide 0.5-1.0" is possible, however, convective precip can favor some areas more than other areas. Most models have at least 0.25" for the entire region. It's entirely possible some areas see a good amount of rain while some areas stay with lower amounts. Some areas could see a couple inches. Either way, the chances of rain are very high for tomorrow.

0.0" here, so far, might get a little rain in a bit. Easthampton picked up 0.74" of rain today and dropped to 59 degrees during the heaviest rain.

Huge difference in humidity levels across the area From Mesowest: NYC: 88/50 27%RH EWR: 90/54 30% RH LGA: 90/50 26% RH ISP: 82/70 66% RH

Some light rain this morning. Nothing to write home about but still plenty of time before we figure out what happens with the next system. Euro and GGEM were east with the heaviest rains, with the Canadian being very far east. GFS is the furthest west. We will see the models go back and fourth until we get a better picture downstream.

Don't have a working gauge but I'd estimate between 0.1-0.2", matches up with the radar. Gladly take over basically nothing the past several weeks. To speak of the greatness of the NAM, it doesn't have anyone in this forum hitting 80 degrees tomorrow lol

I'm just glad it's going to rain. I'll take anything. Going to pour any second now

Decent small cell over north central Suffolk, fired up along the frontal boundary. Cell in NW NJ is heading towards the city

HRRR has consistently, since 0z run last night and almost every consecutive run, been showing cells firing over central Long Island during the evening hours tonight. It hasn't been too bad with the location of cells for today, it had the storms over the sound, north shore, CT and SE New England, so who knows if it will be right. Obviously, no model is perfect with convection like this. The front is pretty visible on OKX, still over CT. Storms are still building off of it. Interested to see what happens when it hits the sea breeze boundary.

Cool down for this upcoming weekend and then slowly fading back into an above normal pattern. Euro weeklies continue the above normal pattern into September through the end of its run