TheDreamTraveler

So with all the weird weather going on I wanted to remind everyone about that NASA study back in August about the effects Hunga Tonga's eruption would have. It added an extra 10% of the entirety of the earths water vapor into the stratosphere. And like with most volcanic eruptions there's always a lag period of 1-2 years before you start noticing effects. The NASA study stated that there would be warming of global temperatures for 10 years as the water vapor disappears and it would also alter the global climate pattern in various ways that we don't yet know. It's easy to say that El Nino is the current driving force with all the weird weather going on but I don't think it's kicked into full gear yet and can't explain everything. There's been some huge changes globally starting since last winter. It's just weird that nobody has been bringing this up at all. Remember when Pinatubo erupted in 1991 and 1993-1994 had some extreme weather like Storm of the Century and the coldest temps ever recorded in PA? Obviously that was volcanic ash and not water vapor like Tonga's so different effects occurred due to that. The thing that's interesting about Tunga is we've never had a volcano eject water vapor like that in our records so it's uncharted territory for the types of effects it can have globally. Sorry for the rambling but it's interesting to take into consideration. I'm super big into tropical weather and I'm trying to wrap my head around the almost unprecedented african wave train occurring 2 months ahead of schedule. There's a low amount of Saharan dust and the African Monsoon is way more potent with the warmest Atlantic SST's ever seen. Oh and another thing too with a potential record Super El Nino coming along with all that water vapor from Hunga Tonga also increasing global temps we're going to get a 1-2 punch HARD with how hot everything is going to get.

I've been super interested in how powerful this El Nino gets since we might get a Super El Nino that rivals 2015-2016. Should be interesting "And to get an idea of just how massive the developing El Niño could be, the previous record high super El Niño peaked at 2.6°C in November/December of 2015. The 1997 El Niño peaked at 2.4°C. And this one is now modelled by the BoM to break 3.0°C." Jesus christ lol

That has to be close to a record for daytime min highs in late June right?

Went from no rain for weeks to rain everyday lmao

Yeah I should have said 2 months. What we got here was the best since then. Hoping this puts a dent in the drought overall. The grass here should spring back to life at least because when I was walking on it yesterday it was crunchy af lol

Yeah. It's ended here for the most part now

Still going strong here. We're getting a ton. It's rained more in the last 20 minutes than the past 3 months combined lol

lmao thanks. I forgot to update my link to the summer one

It's been pouring HARD right now. Gotten more rain in this small amount of time than in the last 3 months

Toasty night tonight. 77 at midnight. DP isn't the worst thankfully

I think he means that we'll have random times where we get the smoke funneled down towards us like we did with this last storm system. These fires have been burning for weeks now but it was only with the right setup that we experienced the smoke. So I'm guessing when we get another storm system in that area similar to what we have currently we'll experience the smoke again. I doubt we'll see it all summer but once every few weeks seems possible.

Air quality hit over 207 here now and it keeps getting worse. So my dad got mulch for his yard and I'm assuming that he's going to be shoveling a huge amount of it later today and I'm wondering if that's not a good idea for him to do given how conditions are right now. I did tell him the other day about the air quality but I don't think neither of us thought it'd get this bad. Do any of you think it's a good idea for him to do that? He's pretty healthy and in great shape but he's in his mid 60's so I'm just a bit worried about him being out there shoveling that for hours. Knowing him he'll probably just do it regardless lol I walked out to see how bad it got and almost instantly I started coughing. It felt like I took a huge plume of smoke directly into my lungs. It's fucking awful out

It's even worse at 2 am. I went out and visibility dropped dramatically as if there was a thick fog. I took a few breaths of air as I walked outside looking down the street and my lungs felt like they were burning slightly. Also I think why it's worse now is because the smoke has been progressively moving farther south as time moves on so I think it's just coincidence that it got bad as night came.

DP is 36 here right now. I can't remember ever seeing it this low in June

Oof. Well that'll be fun lol

Well that explains why the air quality is doubly as bad just north of here. It's 170 here in Enola and I've never ever seen the air quality anywhere this high. Ever. Even during the worst air quality alerts it's only ever gotten around 80 or 90 here. Absolutely insane. I hope that stuff doesn't come farther south

Yeah probably a good idea. I've got a few laying around still and these filters you can place inside so that'd be perfect I think. I'm glad I didn't throw them away lol

I can smell the smoke now

Yeah the rain and wind were really bad here just now. It didn't last for very long. Hoping the rain didn't blow into your windows

I knew the drought was bad but didn't realize May was that bad for a few other places

I hear sirens going off down the highway so it must have been bad there

I can't believe I missed that storm to my east. It missed me by just a thread otherwise I'd probably have had hail here too lol

Saw on the radar the color intensity is the highest it can possibly go. Storm must be pounding over there

Missed the storms to my east yesterday and today missed them all to my west lol

With how dry it is I can definitely see that contributing to the summer being a few degrees warmer some days than what would have originally been forecast as well. Since dryness like that likes to invite more heat